2318:HKEXPing An Insurance (Group) Company of China, Ltd. Class H Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time
HK$61.25
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Ping An (2318.HK) appears dramatically undervalued – the market price of HK$61.25 is far below the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly HK$466, implying an upside of over 35%. Its trailing PE of 7.34 is less than half the industry average (16.69) and the price‑to‑book is under 1.0, while the dividend yield sits at a healthy 4.98% with a modest 35% payout ratio, indicating ample cash to sustain distributions. Recent brand accolades – retaining the title of the world’s most valuable insurance brand in 2026 – reinforce its market positioning, and the company posted strong operating cash flow (HK$5.46 tn) and free cash flow (HK$527 bn).
Technically, the stock trades above its 20‑day SMA (62.89) and 50‑day SMA (61.98) with a bullish trend direction, yet the MACD has turned bearish and RSI is neutral at 42.7, suggesting short‑term caution. Volume is tapering and volatility remains elevated (~27% 30‑day), but the low beta (0.61) tempers systematic risk. Overall, the fundamentals and valuation gap outweigh the near‑term technical headwinds.
Technically, the stock trades above its 20‑day SMA (62.89) and 50‑day SMA (61.98) with a bullish trend direction, yet the MACD has turned bearish and RSI is neutral at 42.7, suggesting short‑term caution. Volume is tapering and volatility remains elevated (~27% 30‑day), but the low beta (0.61) tempers systematic risk. Overall, the fundamentals and valuation gap outweigh the near‑term technical headwinds.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Valuation gap of >35% versus DCF fair value
- Strong cash generation supporting dividend and buy‑backs
- Technical support around HK$59.75 limiting downside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained low PE relative to peers
- Brand leadership and expanding fintech/asset‑management platforms
- Stable earnings outlook with forward PE of 5.6
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Durable competitive moat in Chinese insurance and financial services
- Consistent dividend yield and low payout ratio ensuring sustainability
- Long‑term demographic tailwinds and rising wealth in China
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-3.30%
Profit Margin13.94%
P/E Ratio7.3
ROE11.28%
ROA0.98%
Debt/Equity140.54
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash FlowHK$546.5B
Free Cash FlowHK$527.7B
Industry P/E16.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI42.7
SupportHK$59.75
ResistanceHK$66.50
MA 20HK$62.89
MA 50HK$61.98
MA 200HK$61.11
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$466.41
Target PriceHK$82.72
Upside/Downside35.05%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.98%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.61
Volatility26.75%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.