2317:TWSEHon Hai Precision Industry Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
NT$240.50
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hon Hai is trading at TWD 240.5, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 238.4 and 50‑day SMA of 217.7, but the MACD histogram has turned negative (-0.75) signalling short‑term bearish momentum, while the RSI sits at a neutral 56. The stock enjoys a solid dividend yield of 2.37% with a payout ratio under 45%, and its forward PE of 11.3 is well below the industry average of 38, suggesting relative valuation attractiveness. Revenue growth remains robust at 28.9% YoY, supported by a diversified product portfolio and a recent US$2.8 billion flat‑panel plant investment in Taiwan, positioning the company for continued expansion. However, volume is trending down and beta of 0.81 indicates modest sensitivity to market swings, while 30‑day volatility of over 36% points to price swings that could test investors. The consensus analyst outlook is a Buy with a median price target of TWD 310, implying upside potential of roughly 29% from current levels. Overall, the blend of growth fundamentals, attractive dividend, and moderate valuation makes Hon Hai a compelling medium‑to‑long‑term play, albeit with short‑term technical caution.
Given the current technical backdrop and geopolitical considerations tied to its Taiwan base, investors should monitor volume trends and any shifts in the MACD signal before adding more exposure, while the underlying earnings momentum and dividend sustainability support a bullish stance for the horizon beyond the next quarter.
Given the current technical backdrop and geopolitical considerations tied to its Taiwan base, investors should monitor volume trends and any shifts in the MACD signal before adding more exposure, while the underlying earnings momentum and dividend sustainability support a bullish stance for the horizon beyond the next quarter.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating near‑term downside pressure
- Decreasing volume trend reducing short‑term liquidity
- Price still above key support at TWD 212.5
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth (~29% YoY) and expanding manufacturing capacity
- Attractive forward PE (~11) versus industry average (~38)
- Sustainable dividend yield (2.37%) with healthy payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strategic investments like the $2.8 bn flat‑panel plant boosting future earnings
- Consistent free cash flow generation supporting dividend continuity
- Diversified global footprint mitigating single‑market exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth28.90%
Profit Margin2.30%
P/E Ratio17.9
ROE11.81%
ROA3.67%
Debt/Equity66.62
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash FlowNT$281.1B
Free Cash FlowNT$37.2B
Industry P/E38.0
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI56.5
SupportNT$212.50
ResistanceNT$260.00
MA 20NT$238.40
MA 50NT$217.71
MA 200NT$219.40
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$111.98
Target PriceNT$311.67
Upside/Downside29.59%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.37%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.81
Volatility36.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.