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2301:TWSELite-On Technology Corp. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-18 - not real-time

NT$207.50

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Lite-On posted a robust 19% year‑over‑year revenue increase, driven by a near‑50% surge in its Cloud and AIoT segments, underscoring strong top‑line momentum. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 31.5, well below the industry average of 38.2, but the discounted cash‑flow model suggests a fair value of only TWD 83, implying the market price of TWD 207.5 is significantly stretched. Technicals remain bullish, with the 20‑day SMA (187.65) comfortably below the current price, an RSI of 61 indicating continued buying pressure, and a MACD histogram turning positive. However, volatility is elevated at 71% over the past 30 days and beta sits just above 1, pointing to heightened price swings. The dividend yield of 3.6% and a payout ratio of 68% are attractive, yet free cash flow is negative, raising questions about long‑term sustainability. With support around TWD 160.5 and resistance near the 52‑week high of TWD 246, the stock sits in a bullish corridor but appears overvalued relative to intrinsic estimates.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators (RSI, MACD)
  • Elevated volatility and beta
  • Strong recent earnings beat

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue growth driven by AIoT and cloud
  • Attractive dividend yield
  • Target median price of TWD 225 suggests upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap versus DCF fair value
  • Negative free cash flow and high payout ratio
  • Sector cyclicality and competitive pressures

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth19.20%
Profit Margin8.92%
P/E Ratio31.5
ROE17.34%
ROA5.12%
Debt/Equity20.11
P/B Ratio5.3
Op. Cash FlowNT$6.8B
Free Cash FlowNT$-3553091328
Industry P/E38.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.5
SupportNT$160.50
ResistanceNT$246.00
MA 20NT$187.65
MA 50NT$168.95
MA 200NT$159.67
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.61

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$83.30
Target PriceNT$207.78
Upside/Downside0.13%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.62%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.04
Volatility71.56%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.