2238:HKEXGuangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. Class H Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-11 - not real-time
HK$2.14
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Guangzhou Automobile Group Co., Ltd. is bearish at HKD 2.13, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 9.1%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 46.0 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Watch HKD 2.07 as support and HKD 2.31 as the nearer resistance level.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. The average analyst target implies 12.5% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 15.6% on a -10.7% profit margin. The 1.83% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 7/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 36.8%, a beta of 0.24 and a maximum drawdown of 52.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 2/10.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. The average analyst target implies 12.5% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 15.6% on a -10.7% profit margin. The 1.83% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 7/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 36.8%, a beta of 0.24 and a maximum drawdown of 52.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 90 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on hold, with conviction of 2/10.
Top Market Events
Guangzhou Automobile Group SEHK:2238 has seen its stock return over 13% in the past year, catching the attention of...Guangzhou Automobile Group stock draws attention on Wednesday with its electric-vehicle brand Aion e
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 3.02
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Dividend yield of 1.83% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading below the 200-day average of 3.02
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Dividend yield of 1.83% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Negative profit margin of -10.7%
- Analyst targets imply +12.5% versus the current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth15.60%
Profit Margin-10.67%
P/E Ratio-4.2
ROE-12.54%
ROA-4.40%
Debt/Equity49.40
P/B Ratio0.2
Op. Cash FlowHK$-11361278976
Free Cash FlowHK$-14602541056
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI46.0
SupportHK$2.07
ResistanceHK$2.31
MA 20HK$2.15
MA 50HK$2.19
MA 200HK$3.02
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.57
Valuation
Target PriceHK$2.40
Upside/Downside12.50%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.83%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.24
Volatility36.76%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.