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2222:TADAWULSaudi Arabian Oil Co. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-08 - not real-time

SAR 26.06

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

The moving-average structure behind Saudi Arabian Oil Company is neutral at SAR 26.06, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. It has lost 1.9% over the past 30 days. With RSI at 41.0 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near SAR 25.90 and resistance around SAR 26.86.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 15.4 times earnings against the sector's 18.0. Analyst price targets sit 15.6% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 28.2% on a 22.4% profit margin. The 5.23% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 3 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 10.2%, a beta of -0.10 and a maximum drawdown of 9.9%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 5/10 conviction on the long call.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 26.15
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • RSI at 41.0 is in neutral territory

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 15.4 versus sector average of 18.0
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 26.15
  • Analyst targets imply +15.6% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 15.4 versus sector average of 18.0
  • Analyst targets imply +15.6% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 22.4% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth28.20%
Profit Margin22.39%
P/E Ratio15.4
ROE23.75%
ROA19.80%
Debt/Equity19.78
P/B Ratio4.0
Op. Cash FlowSAR499.2B
Free Cash FlowSAR375.1B
Industry P/E18.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI41.0
SupportSAR 25.90
ResistanceSAR 26.86
MA 20SAR 26.31
MA 50SAR 26.46
MA 200SAR 26.15
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.95

Valuation

Fair ValueSAR 52.99
Target PriceSAR 30.12
Upside/Downside15.58%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.23%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.10
Volatility10.16%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.