We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

2002:TWSETELCON RF PHARMACEUTICAL. Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

₩450.00

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The stock is trading well below its short‑term moving averages, with the 20‑day SMA near 582 and the price hovering around 450, indicating a bearish technical stance. RSI is deep in oversold territory at roughly 25, and the MACD histogram is negative, reinforcing downside momentum. The current price sits just above a clear support level around 445, while the nearest resistance sits near 715, leaving limited upside in the near term. Volatility is extremely high at over 115% for the past month, and beta is modest, suggesting the stock moves sharply on its own. A max drawdown of more than 88% underscores the historical pain investors have endured. The discounted cash flow model values the company at roughly 179, far below the market price, highlighting a substantial overvaluation gap. The Fear & Greed Index is in “Extreme Greed” territory, which often precedes a correction in overbought environments.
Fundamentally, the company posted a revenue decline of about 4% and a negative profit margin, with operating margins still positive but net earnings deeply in the red. Debt is massive relative to equity, pushing the debt‑to‑equity ratio above 30, and free cash flow is strongly negative, indicating cash‑burn concerns. Return on equity is negative, and there is no dividend to speak of, further reducing the appeal for income‑focused investors. Overall, the combination of weak earnings, high leverage, and a price far above intrinsic estimates makes the stock a high‑risk, overvalued proposition.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and deep oversold RSI
  • Price near technical support with limited upside
  • Extreme market greed signaling potential pullback

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High debt load and negative free cash flow
  • Large gap between market price and DCF fair value
  • Uncertainty around earnings recovery

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained negative profitability and ROE
  • Regulatory and industry headwinds for specialty pharma
  • Continued overvaluation relative to fundamentals

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-3.70%
Profit Margin-26.54%
ROE-11.91%
ROA0.29%
Debt/Equity31.49
Op. Cash Flow₩1.7B
Free Cash Flow₩-8885835776
Industry P/E27.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI25.2
Support₩445.00
Resistance₩715.00
MA 20₩581.95
MA 50₩694.38
MA 200₩1,096.94
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.29

Valuation

Fair Value₩179.38
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta0.67
Volatility115.06%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.