200028:SZSEChina National Accord Medicines Corporation Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
HK$13.74
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
China National Accord Medicines trades at a price that is dramatically below its discounted cash‑flow estimate, delivering a valuation that is far cheaper than peers. The stock’s trailing PE of around six is a fraction of the industry average of roughly twenty‑five, and its price‑to‑book sits well under one, underscoring the depth of the discount. Dividend yield approaching three percent and a payout ratio under twenty percent further enhance its appeal, indicating generous and sustainable cash returns. Meanwhile, the company’s balance sheet is strong, with cash exceeding debt and a modest leverage ratio.
Technical indicators are mixed: the MACD has turned mildly bullish, the RSI hovers in the neutral zone, and the price sits just below the identified resistance level, while volume has been tapering. Low beta and modest 30‑day volatility suggest limited price swings, but the decreasing volume trend introduces a slight liquidity concern. Overall, the fundamentals point to a value play with defensive characteristics, while the technicals call for patience before a breakout.
Technical indicators are mixed: the MACD has turned mildly bullish, the RSI hovers in the neutral zone, and the price sits just below the identified resistance level, while volume has been tapering. Low beta and modest 30‑day volatility suggest limited price swings, but the decreasing volume trend introduces a slight liquidity concern. Overall, the fundamentals point to a value play with defensive characteristics, while the technicals call for patience before a breakout.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Neutral technical outlook with price near resistance
- Decreasing volume indicating limited short‑term buying pressure
- Strong dividend yield offering downside protection
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant discount to DCF fair value
- Robust cash generation and low leverage
- Attractive dividend yield supporting total return
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental undervaluation relative to peers
- Stable business model in medical distribution
- Low beta and modest volatility reducing market risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.60%
Profit Margin1.50%
P/E Ratio6.0
ROE5.05%
ROA2.11%
Debt/Equity18.69
P/B Ratio0.3
Op. Cash FlowHK$520.5M
Free Cash FlowHK$2.0B
Industry P/E24.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI53.6
SupportHK$13.35
ResistanceHK$13.83
MA 20HK$13.64
MA 50HK$13.79
MA 200HK$13.70
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$48.94
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.91%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.15
Volatility8.70%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.