1COV:GETTEXCovestro AG Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-08 - not real-time
€60.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Covestro AG is priced at €60.00 and its moving averages line up in bullish order, the shorter sitting above the longer. Relative strength is 48.4 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. The recent range runs from support at €59.80 up to resistance at €60.50.
On valuation the read is overvalued — an earnings multiple of 62.0, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Sell-side targets cluster 3.3% above the current quote.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 8.3%, a beta of -0.01 and a maximum drawdown of 6.5%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is sell, conviction 4 out of 10.
On valuation the read is overvalued — an earnings multiple of 62.0, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Sell-side targets cluster 3.3% above the current quote.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 8.3%, a beta of -0.01 and a maximum drawdown of 6.5%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is sell, conviction 4 out of 10.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 59.98
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 59.98
- MACD momentum is negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Negative profit margin of -2.4%
- Negative return on equity of -4.4%
- Revenue contracting at -0.4%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.40%
Profit Margin-2.38%
P/E Ratio62.0
ROE-4.44%
ROA0.29%
Debt/Equity38.50
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash Flow€913.0M
Free Cash Flow€286.5M
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI48.4
Support€59.80
Resistance€60.50
MA 20€60.12
MA 50€60.07
MA 200€59.98
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.36
Valuation
Fair Value€8.57
Target Price€62.00
Upside/Downside3.33%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.01
Volatility8.26%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.