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1929:HKEXChow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-12 - not real-time

HK$11.67

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The moving-average structure behind Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited is neutral at HKD 11.67, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. It has lost 5.7% over the past 30 days. With RSI at 36.9 the momentum picture is approaching oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near HKD 11.47 and resistance around HKD 13.86.
The shares look fair at 13.0 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. The average analyst target implies 35.1% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 10.3% on a 9.5% profit margin. The 5.74% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 6 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 40.5%, a beta of 0.53 and a maximum drawdown of 36.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 4/10 conviction over the longer horizon.

Top Market Events

HONG KONG/BANGKOK - EQS Newswire - 16 January 2026 - Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited "Chow Tai Fook Jewellery...Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group Limited HKG:1929 , which is in the specialty retail business, and is based in Hong.ad-hoc-news1monChow Tai Fook stock stays tied to margin pressure and sales trendsChow Tai Fook stock is best read...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 12.42
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day price change of -5.7%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 12.42
  • Analyst targets imply +35.1% versus the current price
  • 30-day volatility of 40.5%

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst targets imply +35.1% versus the current price
  • Revenue growth of +10.3%
  • P/E ratio of 13.0

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.30%
Profit Margin9.54%
P/E Ratio13.0
ROE30.60%
ROA13.94%
Debt/Equity83.44
P/B Ratio3.7
Op. Cash FlowHK$1.3B
Free Cash FlowHK$2.1B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI36.9
SupportHK$11.47
ResistanceHK$13.86
MA 20HK$12.74
MA 50HK$12.36
MA 200HK$12.42
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$2.11
Target PriceHK$15.77
Upside/Downside35.10%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.74%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.53
Volatility40.49%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.