1919:HKEXCOSCO SHIPPING Holdings Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
HK$14.15
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Undervalued price with a PE far below the industry average and a DCF target well above the current market level, combined with an exceptionally high dividend yield that places the stock among the most generous payers in its sector. However, the company’s free cash flow is negative and leverage is elevated, raising questions about the sustainability of the payout.
Technically, the share trades below both the 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages and the MACD shows a bearish divergence, while the RSI sits in a neutral zone. Volatility is elevated and beta is low, suggesting price swings but limited correlation to broader market moves. The overall picture is one of attractive valuation tempered by cash‑flow and momentum headwinds.
Technically, the share trades below both the 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages and the MACD shows a bearish divergence, while the RSI sits in a neutral zone. Volatility is elevated and beta is low, suggesting price swings but limited correlation to broader market moves. The overall picture is one of attractive valuation tempered by cash‑flow and momentum headwinds.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and price below short‑term moving averages
- High dividend yield but cash‑flow deficit
- Elevated near‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation discount to DCF and industry peers
- Potential earnings recovery as global trade stabilizes
- Strong dividend income if cash‑flow improves
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustained low valuation and attractive yield
- Long‑term exposure to China‑centric shipping routes
- Ongoing leverage and cash‑flow concerns limiting upside
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-10.60%
Profit Margin11.74%
P/E Ratio6.2
ROE9.91%
ROA3.44%
Debt/Equity25.76
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash FlowHK$41.6B
Free Cash FlowHK$-1702765056
Industry P/E30.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI44.6
SupportHK$13.73
ResistanceHK$15.66
MA 20HK$14.65
MA 50HK$14.78
MA 200HK$14.09
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.89
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$29.90
Target PriceHK$15.12
Upside/Downside6.89%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield7.29%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.30
Volatility42.63%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.