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1913:HKEXPrada S.p.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-03 - not real-time

HK$39.94

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At HKD 39.94, Prada S.p.A. shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 1.1%. Relative strength is 41.2 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at HKD 39.00 and resistance at HKD 45.42.
The shares look undervalued at 14.2 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Analyst price targets sit 23.6% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 11.2% on a 13.2% profit margin. The 3.76% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 7 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 46.5%, a beta of 0.94 and a maximum drawdown of 30.9%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 6 out of 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 40.84
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 40.84
  • Analyst targets imply +23.6% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst targets imply +23.6% versus the current price
  • Revenue growth of +11.2%
  • P/E ratio of 14.2

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth11.20%
Profit Margin13.16%
P/E Ratio14.2
ROE17.98%
ROA7.87%
Debt/Equity104.77
P/B Ratio2.5
Op. Cash FlowHK$1.7B
Free Cash FlowHK$918.3M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI41.2
SupportHK$39.00
ResistanceHK$45.42
MA 20HK$41.54
MA 50HK$40.88
MA 200HK$40.84
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.29

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$5.76
Target PriceHK$49.39
Upside/Downside23.65%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.76%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.94
Volatility46.45%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.