1898:HKEXChina Coal Energy Company Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
¥1,427.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Seikitokyu Kogyo trades at ¥1,427, hovering just above its 20‑day SMA of ¥1,422 and the identified support level of ¥1,395, while facing resistance near ¥1,471. The RSI sits at 46, suggesting neutral momentum, and the MACD histogram has turned positive (+3.66), hinting at a potential short‑term bounce despite a broader bearish trend. With a beta of 0.19 and 30‑day volatility of 18.8%, the stock exhibits low market sensitivity and moderate price swings.
Fundamentally, the company appears **significantly undervalued**: its trailing PE of 11 is well below the industry average of 30, and a DCF‑derived fair value of ¥3,577 implies a >150% upside. A robust dividend yield of 5.33% (payout ratio ~56%) is backed by solid free cash flow and a healthy cash‑to‑debt profile, while operating margins remain stable. These factors collectively point to a value‑oriented investment with attractive income potential.
Fundamentally, the company appears **significantly undervalued**: its trailing PE of 11 is well below the industry average of 30, and a DCF‑derived fair value of ¥3,577 implies a >150% upside. A robust dividend yield of 5.33% (payout ratio ~56%) is backed by solid free cash flow and a healthy cash‑to‑debt profile, while operating margins remain stable. These factors collectively point to a value‑oriented investment with attractive income potential.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near 20‑day SMA and support level
- Positive MACD histogram indicating early bullish momentum
- High dividend yield providing downside cushion
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value suggests >150% upside
- Trailing PE far below industry average
- Sustainable dividend supported by strong free cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Deep valuation gap with long‑term upside potential
- Stable cash generation and low leverage
- Low beta and defensive sector positioning
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.90%
Profit Margin4.90%
P/E Ratio11.2
ROE10.86%
ROA4.80%
Debt/Equity14.94
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow¥11.4B
Free Cash Flow¥9.3B
Industry P/E30.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI46.4
Support¥1,395.00
Resistance¥1,471.00
MA 20¥1,421.65
MA 50¥1,466.32
MA 200¥1,560.42
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value¥3,577.29
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.33%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.19
Volatility18.82%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.