We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

1898:HKEXChina Coal Energy Company Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

¥1,427.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Seikitokyu Kogyo trades at ¥1,427, hovering just above its 20‑day SMA of ¥1,422 and the identified support level of ¥1,395, while facing resistance near ¥1,471. The RSI sits at 46, suggesting neutral momentum, and the MACD histogram has turned positive (+3.66), hinting at a potential short‑term bounce despite a broader bearish trend. With a beta of 0.19 and 30‑day volatility of 18.8%, the stock exhibits low market sensitivity and moderate price swings.
Fundamentally, the company appears **significantly undervalued**: its trailing PE of 11 is well below the industry average of 30, and a DCF‑derived fair value of ¥3,577 implies a >150% upside. A robust dividend yield of 5.33% (payout ratio ~56%) is backed by solid free cash flow and a healthy cash‑to‑debt profile, while operating margins remain stable. These factors collectively point to a value‑oriented investment with attractive income potential.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near 20‑day SMA and support level
  • Positive MACD histogram indicating early bullish momentum
  • High dividend yield providing downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value suggests >150% upside
  • Trailing PE far below industry average
  • Sustainable dividend supported by strong free cash flow

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Deep valuation gap with long‑term upside potential
  • Stable cash generation and low leverage
  • Low beta and defensive sector positioning

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.90%
Profit Margin4.90%
P/E Ratio11.2
ROE10.86%
ROA4.80%
Debt/Equity14.94
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow¥11.4B
Free Cash Flow¥9.3B
Industry P/E30.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI46.4
Support¥1,395.00
Resistance¥1,471.00
MA 20¥1,421.65
MA 50¥1,466.32
MA 200¥1,560.42
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value¥3,577.29
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.33%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.19
Volatility18.82%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.