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1812:TSEShandong Chenming Paper Holdings Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-18 - not real-time

¥4,891.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At ¥4,891.00, Kajima Corporation shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. It has lost 20.2% over the past 30 days. With RSI at 30.2 the momentum picture is approaching oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Watch ¥4,794.00 as support and ¥5,696.00 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 12.9 times earnings below a sector average of 30.4. Analyst price targets sit 49.7% above the current price. The 2.93% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 5 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 26.8%, a beta of 0.47 and a maximum drawdown of 36.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 2 out of 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 5928.42
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 12.9 versus sector average of 30.4
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 5928.42

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 2/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 12.9 versus sector average of 30.4
  • Analyst targets imply +49.7% versus the current price
  • Revenue contracting at -1.5%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.50%
Profit Margin5.94%
P/E Ratio12.9
Debt/Equity58.95
P/B Ratio1.6
Industry P/E30.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI30.2
Support¥4,794.00
Resistance¥5,696.00
MA 20¥5,259.85
MA 50¥5,579.82
MA 200¥5,928.42
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14

Valuation

Target Price¥7,321.43
Upside/Downside49.69%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.93%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.47
Volatility26.78%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.