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180640:KRXHanjin Kal Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time

₩115,600.00

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Hanjin Kal’s shares are trading at a level that dwarfs its discounted cash‑flow estimate, signaling a pronounced overvaluation. The company is wrestling with a strongly negative operating margin, an outsized debt load relative to equity, and a free‑cash‑flow deficit, all of which erode financial resilience. Technical signals reinforce the downside view: the price sits below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, the MACD has turned bearish, and momentum indicators sit under the neutral midpoint, suggesting limited upward pressure. Moreover, volatility is exceptionally high and the modest dividend payout appears unsustainable given the cash constraints.
Investors should treat the stock as a high‑risk position; short‑term exposure is best reduced, while any longer‑term holding should be predicated on a clear turnaround in the aviation and lodging segments and a substantial deleveraging effort.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Severe overvaluation relative to DCF
  • Bearish technical setup
  • Weak cash‑flow and high debt

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential recovery in travel and lodging demand
  • Modest dividend provides slight yield
  • Uncertainty around debt reduction

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Cyclical nature of consumer‑cyclical sector
  • Need for structural balance‑sheet improvement
  • Long‑term exposure to regulatory and geographic risks

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.70%
Profit Margin61.17%
ROE5.39%
ROA-0.16%
Debt/Equity20.37
Op. Cash Flow₩135.4B
Free Cash Flow₩-217881526272

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI42.9
Support₩111,000.00
Resistance₩175,900.00
MA 20₩135,580.00
MA 50₩126,168.00
MA 200₩117,239.00
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Fair Value₩18,587.80
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.31%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.05
Volatility104.66%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.