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1802:TWSEChina AMC YueXiu Expressway REIT Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-12 - not real-time

¥3,012.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Obayashi Corporation trades at ¥3,012.00, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Over a rolling month the price has lost 6.7%. Relative strength is 46.1 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near ¥2,891.00 and resistance around ¥3,128.00.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 12.1 times earnings against the sector's 28.0. Sell-side targets cluster 26.6% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 19.0% on a 7.3% profit margin. The 3.12% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 26.1%, a beta of 0.07 and a maximum drawdown of 34.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — hold in the near term, buy further out, at 6/10 long-term conviction.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 3441.05
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 12.1 versus sector average of 28.0
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 3441.05

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 12.1 versus sector average of 28.0
  • Analyst targets imply +26.6% versus the current price
  • Revenue growth of +19.0%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth19.00%
Profit Margin7.25%
P/E Ratio12.1
ROE16.16%
ROA4.39%
Debt/Equity27.36
P/B Ratio1.7
Industry P/E28.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI46.1
Support¥2,891.00
Resistance¥3,128.00
MA 20¥3,008.43
MA 50¥3,126.63
MA 200¥3,441.05
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14

Valuation

Target Price¥3,812.50
Upside/Downside26.58%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.12%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.07
Volatility26.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.