1787:HKEXShandong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-28 - not real-time
¥5,300.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading at 5,300 JPY, just above the 20‑day SMA (5,253.5) but below both the 50‑day (5,348.4) and 200‑day (5,563.55) averages, indicating a short‑term bounce within a longer‑term downtrend. Momentum indicators are mixed: the RSI sits near the midpoint at 49.9, while the MACD histogram is positive (≈16.9) and the signal line is labeled bullish, suggesting underlying strength despite the bearish trend label. Volume is on an upward trajectory, supporting the recent price stability around the identified support level of 5,140 JPY and the nearby resistance at 5,420 JPY.
Fundamentally, the company appears markedly undervalued – its trailing P/E of 10.95 is well below the industry average of 31.47, and the discounted cash‑flow model places fair value near 10,800 JPY, more than double the current price. A strong balance sheet with zero debt, sizable cash reserves (≈4.8 bn JPY), and a healthy dividend yield of 4.9% (payout ratio ~69%) underscores cash flow robustness, while the 30‑day volatility of ~20% and a very low beta (~0.08) point to price swings that are largely company‑specific rather than market‑driven.
Fundamentally, the company appears markedly undervalued – its trailing P/E of 10.95 is well below the industry average of 31.47, and the discounted cash‑flow model places fair value near 10,800 JPY, more than double the current price. A strong balance sheet with zero debt, sizable cash reserves (≈4.8 bn JPY), and a healthy dividend yield of 4.9% (payout ratio ~69%) underscores cash flow robustness, while the 30‑day volatility of ~20% and a very low beta (~0.08) point to price swings that are largely company‑specific rather than market‑driven.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering near short‑term support
- Bullish MACD histogram amid bearish trend
- Increasing trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap versus DCF fair value
- Strong cash position and zero debt
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Consistently low P/E relative to industry peers
- Stable earnings and solid ROE/ROA
- Low beta indicating limited market‑wide volatility exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.30%
Profit Margin7.96%
P/E Ratio11.0
ROE13.11%
ROA6.74%
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow¥1.7B
Free Cash Flow¥1.6B
Industry P/E31.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI49.9
Support¥5,140.00
Resistance¥5,420.00
MA 20¥5,253.50
MA 50¥5,348.40
MA 200¥5,563.55
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.55
Valuation
Fair Value¥10,796.13
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.91%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.08
Volatility20.04%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.