We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

1717:TWSEEternal Materials Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

NT$70.40

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Eternal Materials is trading at TWD 70.4, well below its 20‑day (≈76.9) and 50‑day (≈77.0) moving averages, signaling a short‑term weakness. The RSI sits near 40 and the MACD shows a bearish divergence, while volume has been trending down, suggesting further downside toward the identified support around TWD 66. On the valuation side, a trailing P/E of ~50 and a forward P/E of ~25 contrast sharply with a DCF‑derived fair value of only TWD 8.5, indicating the stock is markedly overvalued. The dividend yield of 1.47% is backed by an 85% payout ratio, raising concerns about sustainability given the company’s high debt‑to‑equity (≈66) and modest cash conversion. Despite a solid cash balance, the combination of high volatility (≈54% 30‑day) and a beta above 1.2 adds market‑risk pressure. In this context, the stock’s upside appears limited while downside risk remains pronounced, especially for investors seeking value or income stability.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Decreasing trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High valuation versus DCF fair value
  • Stable operating cash flow
  • Elevated dividend payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant overvaluation (PE ~50)
  • Heavy debt load (Debt/Equity ~66)
  • Unsustainable dividend policy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.80%
Profit Margin4.25%
P/E Ratio49.9
ROE6.09%
ROA1.80%
Debt/Equity65.93
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash FlowNT$4.4B
Free Cash FlowNT$1.5B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI40.0
SupportNT$66.00
ResistanceNT$89.90
MA 20NT$76.94
MA 50NT$77.02
MA 200NT$55.26
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.86

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$8.50
Target PriceNT$84.00
Upside/Downside19.32%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.47%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.28
Volatility54.25%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.