1519:TWSEJ&T Global Express Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-06 - not real-time
HK$9.67
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind J&T Global Express Limited is neutral at HKD 9.66, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Relative strength is 44.4 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. The recent range runs from support at HKD 9.52 up to resistance at HKD 10.85.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 31.2 sits in line with the sector average of 28.5. The average analyst target implies 39.5% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 39.5% on a 2.5% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 5 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 33.7%, a beta of 0.17 and a maximum drawdown of 32.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 4 out of 10.
Valuation screens as undervalued: a P/E of 31.2 sits in line with the sector average of 28.5. The average analyst target implies 39.5% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 39.5% on a 2.5% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 5 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 33.7%, a beta of 0.17 and a maximum drawdown of 32.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is buy, conviction 4 out of 10.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 1/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 9.94
- MACD momentum is negative
- Maximum drawdown of 32.7%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 31.2 versus sector average of 28.5
- Trading below the 200-day average of 9.94
- Analyst targets imply +39.5% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 31.2 versus sector average of 28.5
- Analyst targets imply +39.5% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +39.5%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth39.50%
Profit Margin2.53%
P/E Ratio31.2
ROE11.84%
ROA5.66%
Debt/Equity95.39
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash FlowHK$1.3B
Free Cash FlowHK$56.7M
Industry P/E28.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI44.4
SupportHK$9.52
ResistanceHK$10.85
MA 20HK$9.98
MA 50HK$9.73
MA 200HK$9.94
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.48
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$0.09
Target PriceHK$13.48
Upside/Downside39.47%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.17
Volatility33.67%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.