1513:HKEXChung-Hsin Electric and Machinery Manufacturing Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-25 - not real-time
NT$160.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Chung‑Hsin Electric and Machinery is trading at TWD 160, which is well below its DCF‑derived fair value of TWD 327, implying a material upside potential. The stock benefits from a solid dividend yield of 2.94% and a modest payout ratio of 57%, suggesting the dividend is sustainable. Valuation metrics are attractive, with a trailing P/E of 19.8 versus an industry average of 29.7, indicating relative cheapness on a earnings basis. Technicals are supportive: the MACD shows a bullish signal, the RSI sits at 61 (still below overbought levels), and price remains comfortably above the identified support of TWD 146.5 while approaching a resistance near TWD 163.5. The company’s fundamentals are robust, featuring a healthy operating margin of 18.5%, strong free cash flow generation, and a low beta of 0.53 that points to limited market volatility. Overall, the combination of undervaluation, sustainable dividend, and favorable technical momentum makes the stock a compelling candidate for investors seeking both income and capital appreciation.
The risk profile is tempered by moderate sector exposure and geopolitical considerations tied to Taiwan, but the company’s diversified product lines—from power equipment to precision machining—provide a buffer against sector‑specific downturns. Liquidity appears adequate despite a recent decline in volume, and the volatility of 26% over the past 30 days is manageable for a mid‑cap industrial player. Given the upside indicated by both relative valuation and the DCF model, the investment case remains strong across short, medium, and long horizons.
The risk profile is tempered by moderate sector exposure and geopolitical considerations tied to Taiwan, but the company’s diversified product lines—from power equipment to precision machining—provide a buffer against sector‑specific downturns. Liquidity appears adequate despite a recent decline in volume, and the volatility of 26% over the past 30 days is manageable for a mid‑cap industrial player. Given the upside indicated by both relative valuation and the DCF model, the investment case remains strong across short, medium, and long horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD crossover
- Current price well below DCF fair value
- Sustainable dividend yield
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Forward EPS growth outpacing current earnings
- Undervalued relative to industry peers
- Continued cash‑flow generation supporting dividend
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term upside to DCF fair value of TWD 327
- Diversified industrial and renewable‑energy product portfolio
- Strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.70%
Profit Margin14.79%
P/E Ratio19.8
ROE19.67%
ROA6.38%
Debt/Equity27.70
P/B Ratio7.1
Op. Cash FlowNT$11.2B
Free Cash FlowNT$12.2B
Industry P/E29.7
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI61.0
SupportNT$146.50
ResistanceNT$163.50
MA 20NT$153.38
MA 50NT$153.16
MA 200NT$156.98
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.71
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$327.47
Target PriceNT$181.40
Upside/Downside13.38%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.94%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.53
Volatility26.23%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.