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14:HKEXHysan Development Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time

¥1,965.00

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Gifu Landscape Architect Co., Ltd. (symbol 14) is trading at ¥1,965, comfortably above its 20‑day (¥1,914.4), 50‑day (¥1,880.8) and 200‑day (¥1,861.8) moving averages, underscoring a clear bullish price trend. The MACD histogram remains positive (+4.68) and the MACD line sits above its signal, confirming momentum. RSI at 67.7 points to strength without being overbought. Volume has been increasing, supporting the upward move, while the stock holds a solid support near ¥1,871 and faces resistance around ¥2,000. Volatility over the past 30 days is modest at 13.7%, and beta is near zero (≈0.09), indicating minimal market‑wide risk. PE 12.8 is far below the industry average of 30.9, and the discounted cash‑flow model suggests a fair value of ¥3,479, implying a ~44% upside.
The price‑to‑book ratio of 1.42 aligns with the book value of ¥1,386 per share, further supporting a value case. Revenue has grown 9.3% year‑over‑year, and operating margins sit at 12.6% with a healthy ROE of 11.8%. The company generates ¥648 m of operating cash flow and ¥463 m of free cash flow, leaving it with a net cash position of roughly ¥2.74 bn after accounting for ¥238 m of debt. Dividend yield stands at 2.04% with a payout ratio of just 24.7%, indicating sustainable shareholder returns. The Fear & Greed Index is at “Extreme Greed” (92.9), reflecting strong market appetite that may further buoy the stock. Overall, the combination of strong technical momentum, a sizable valuation gap, solid cash generation and a sustainable dividend makes the stock attractive across horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance at ¥2,000 with bullish technicals
  • Increasing volume supporting current trend
  • Low systematic risk (beta ~0.09)

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value indicates ~44% upside
  • Strong cash generation and low net debt
  • Sustainable dividend yield of 2.04%

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap versus industry peers
  • Stable demand for greening projects in Japan
  • Low beta and modest volatility suggest defensive profile

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.30%
Profit Margin7.57%
P/E Ratio12.8
ROE11.79%
ROA7.72%
Debt/Equity5.29
P/B Ratio1.4
Op. Cash Flow¥648.0M
Free Cash Flow¥463.0M
Industry P/E30.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI67.7
Support¥1,871.00
Resistance¥2,000.00
MA 20¥1,914.40
MA 50¥1,880.82
MA 200¥1,861.75
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Valuation

Fair Value¥3,478.82
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.04%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.09
Volatility13.72%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.