1414:TSETung Ho Textile Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
NT$16.75
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Tung Ho Textile is trading at TWD 16.75, more than 2.8× its discounted cash‑flow fair value of TWD 5.84, and its trailing P/E of 88.2 signals severe overvaluation. The company’s revenue has contracted ‑14.9% YoY, operating margins are negative, and ROE sits at a modest 1.96% while debt‑to‑equity is an alarming 17.6×, underscoring weak fundamentals and a fragile balance sheet.
Technically, the stock is caught in a bearish environment: price sits below the 200‑day SMA (18.66) despite briefly trading above the 20‑ and 50‑day SMAs, RSI hovers at a neutral 57, and the MACD histogram is positive but the broader trend remains down‑sloping. Volatility is high at over 36% on a 30‑day basis, yet beta is near zero, indicating limited market‑wide correlation. Volume is rising but remains far below its 10‑day average, highlighting liquidity concerns, and the dividend yield of 1.19% is unsustainable given a payout ratio above 100%.
Technically, the stock is caught in a bearish environment: price sits below the 200‑day SMA (18.66) despite briefly trading above the 20‑ and 50‑day SMAs, RSI hovers at a neutral 57, and the MACD histogram is positive but the broader trend remains down‑sloping. Volatility is high at over 36% on a 30‑day basis, yet beta is near zero, indicating limited market‑wide correlation. Volume is rising but remains far below its 10‑day average, highlighting liquidity concerns, and the dividend yield of 1.19% is unsustainable given a payout ratio above 100%.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Severe price overvaluation relative to DCF and P/E
- Bearish technical trend with price below 200‑day SMA
- High short‑term volatility and thin trading liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential sector stabilization if textile demand improves
- Dividend payout unsustainable, limiting cash return
- Continued balance‑sheet strain from high debt levels
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental weaknesses unlikely to reverse without strategic overhaul
- Low systematic risk (beta) but high company‑specific risk
- Long‑term valuation gap persists despite modest dividend yield
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-14.90%
Profit Margin13.01%
P/E Ratio88.2
ROE1.96%
ROA-0.34%
Debt/Equity17.59
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowNT$174.6M
Free Cash FlowNT$81.1M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI57.5
SupportNT$13.85
ResistanceNT$17.95
MA 20NT$15.76
MA 50NT$16.21
MA 200NT$18.66
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71
Valuation
Fair ValueNT$5.84
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.19%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.01
Volatility36.47%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.