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1414:TSETung Ho Textile Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

NT$16.75

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Tung Ho Textile is trading at TWD 16.75, more than 2.8× its discounted cash‑flow fair value of TWD 5.84, and its trailing P/E of 88.2 signals severe overvaluation. The company’s revenue has contracted ‑14.9% YoY, operating margins are negative, and ROE sits at a modest 1.96% while debt‑to‑equity is an alarming 17.6×, underscoring weak fundamentals and a fragile balance sheet.
Technically, the stock is caught in a bearish environment: price sits below the 200‑day SMA (18.66) despite briefly trading above the 20‑ and 50‑day SMAs, RSI hovers at a neutral 57, and the MACD histogram is positive but the broader trend remains down‑sloping. Volatility is high at over 36% on a 30‑day basis, yet beta is near zero, indicating limited market‑wide correlation. Volume is rising but remains far below its 10‑day average, highlighting liquidity concerns, and the dividend yield of 1.19% is unsustainable given a payout ratio above 100%.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Severe price overvaluation relative to DCF and P/E
  • Bearish technical trend with price below 200‑day SMA
  • High short‑term volatility and thin trading liquidity

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Potential sector stabilization if textile demand improves
  • Dividend payout unsustainable, limiting cash return
  • Continued balance‑sheet strain from high debt levels

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental weaknesses unlikely to reverse without strategic overhaul
  • Low systematic risk (beta) but high company‑specific risk
  • Long‑term valuation gap persists despite modest dividend yield

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-14.90%
Profit Margin13.01%
P/E Ratio88.2
ROE1.96%
ROA-0.34%
Debt/Equity17.59
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowNT$174.6M
Free Cash FlowNT$81.1M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI57.5
SupportNT$13.85
ResistanceNT$17.95
MA 20NT$15.76
MA 50NT$16.21
MA 200NT$18.66
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.71

Valuation

Fair ValueNT$5.84
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.19%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.01
Volatility36.47%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.