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138040:KRXMeritz Financial Group Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time

₩108,100.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Meritz Financial Group trades at a forward P/E of 5.93, far below the industry average of 16.9, indicating a substantial valuation gap. The company posted an impressive 51.3% revenue growth year‑over‑year, supported by a solid operating margin of 50.7% and a healthy ROE of 21.3%. Technicals show the price (108,100 KRW) sitting under the 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, confirming a bearish trend, yet the MACD histogram is strongly positive and the signal line is bullish, suggesting short‑term upside momentum. The RSI of 47.8 is neutral, while support at 100,200 KRW and resistance at 116,800 KRW frame a modest upside target. Volume is on a decreasing trajectory, which could limit immediate liquidity, and the 30‑day volatility of 38.5% signals price swings are pronounced. The stock’s beta of 0.53 points to lower systematic risk relative to the market, but the recent max drawdown of ‑29.7% underscores downside vulnerability. Dividend yield sits at 1.03% with a zero payout ratio, raising questions about sustainability given negative operating cash flow. Market sentiment is in the “Extreme Greed” zone (Fear‑Greed Index 91.46), potentially inflating short‑term demand. Overall, the combination of deep undervaluation, robust growth fundamentals, and a bullish MACD creates an attractive entry point, tempered by liquidity constraints and earnings volatility. Investors should weigh the upside potential against the heightened short‑term risk environment.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD histogram indicating momentum
  • Significant valuation discount vs industry
  • Support level providing downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue growth exceeding 50%
  • Strong operating margin and ROE
  • Potential for dividend policy improvement

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Volatility and drawdown risk remain elevated
  • Regulatory environment in financial services
  • Long‑term capital market positioning in Korea

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth51.30%
Profit Margin11.91%
P/E Ratio5.9
ROE21.34%
ROA1.82%
Op. Cash Flow₩-7569978949632
Industry P/E16.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI47.8
Support₩100,200.00
Resistance₩116,800.00
MA 20₩107,825.00
MA 50₩111,090.00
MA 200₩114,354.50
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Target Price₩139,000.00
Upside/Downside28.58%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.03%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.53
Volatility38.53%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.