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136:HKEXWONILTNI Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-17 - not real-time

MYR 1.10

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

UEM Edgenta is trading at a price that aligns with its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages (≈ 1.10), while the 200‑day average sits lower, indicating a short‑term bullish bias. The RSI of 57 suggests momentum is still neutral, but the MACD histogram has turned negative, hinting at potential downside pressure. The stock’s beta is exceptionally low (0.06), so market swings are unlikely to move the price dramatically, and 30‑day volatility is modest at around 6.6 %. Valuation metrics paint a stark contrast: the DCF fair value exceeds the current price by more than sevenfold, and the price‑to‑book ratio is below 1 (0.88), implying significant upside if earnings improve. However, the company posted a negative profit margin (‑13.7 %) and a trailing EPS of –0.48, with a forward EPS of only 0.05, indicating profitability is still fragile. The dividend yield looks attractive at 3.7 % but the payout ratio exceeds 150 %, raising doubts about sustainability.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering at key support/resistance levels
  • Bearish MACD signal despite overall bullish trend
  • High dividend yield but unsustainable payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF valuation suggests large upside
  • Forward earnings turning positive
  • Low beta and modest volatility reduce market risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term infrastructure demand in diversified regions
  • Undervalued book value and price‑to‑sales multiples
  • Potential for dividend policy to normalize as earnings improve

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.30%
Profit Margin-13.75%
P/E Ratio22.0
ROE-29.77%
ROA-1.60%
Debt/Equity40.03
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash FlowMYR253.4M
Free Cash FlowMYR416.1M
Industry P/E30.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI57.1
SupportMYR 1.10
ResistanceMYR 1.10
MA 20MYR 1.10
MA 50MYR 1.10
MA 200MYR 1.02
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.5

Valuation

Fair ValueMYR 8.09
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.70%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.06
Volatility6.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.