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12:HKEXBYD Company Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-12 - not real-time

HK$79.85

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

BYD Company Limited trades at HKD 79.85, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 15.2%. With RSI at 30.2 the momentum picture is approaching oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near HKD 78.00 and resistance around HKD 94.85.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 21.2 with no clean sector comparison available. The average analyst target implies 58.6% above today's level. Revenue is contracting at 3.2% on a 3.8% profit margin. The 0.52% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 30.5%, a beta of 0.04 and a maximum drawdown of 36.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.

Top Market Events

ad-hoc-news1monBYD stock gains on 2026 sales and profit trendBYD stock draws attention as 2026 sales and earnings...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 94.48
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 94.48
  • Analyst targets imply +58.6% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst targets imply +58.6% versus the current price
  • Revenue contracting at -3.2%
  • Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-3.20%
Profit Margin3.79%
P/E Ratio21.2
ROE11.60%
ROA2.80%
Debt/Equity46.06
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash FlowHK$64.6B
Free Cash FlowHK$-96303865856

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI30.2
SupportHK$78.00
ResistanceHK$94.85
MA 20HK$87.94
MA 50HK$88.65
MA 200HK$94.48
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14

Valuation

Fair ValueHK$61.63
Target PriceHK$126.68
Upside/Downside58.65%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.52%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.04
Volatility30.52%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.