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128940:KRXHanmi Pharm. Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-02 - not real-time

₩536,000.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hanmi Pharm. is trading at a price of 536,000 KRW, which sits well above its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly 28,900 KRW, indicating a material overvaluation. The stock’s RSI of 64 suggests continued buying pressure but is approaching overbought territory, while the MACD histogram of +12,810 confirms a bullish momentum shift. However, volatility remains high at over 60% (30‑day) and the max drawdown of ‑34% signals susceptibility to sharp declines. Valuation metrics reinforce the premium: a forward PE of nearly 32 versus an industry average of 27, and a price‑to‑sales multiple above 4. The dividend yield is modest at 0.37% with a low payout ratio, supporting sustainability but offering limited income appeal.
Given the neutral trend direction, increasing volume, and strong market cap, the stock may sustain short‑term momentum, yet the disparity between market price and intrinsic value, coupled with sector regulatory sensitivities, suggests caution for longer horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD histogram supporting near‑term upside
  • RSI nearing overbought levels
  • Price still below immediate resistance at 578,000 KRW

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant overvaluation relative to DCF fair value
  • High 30‑day volatility and recent drawdown risk
  • Elevated forward PE compared with industry peers

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Fundamental strengths in cash flow and low dividend payout ratio
  • Exposure to growth segments like oncology and rare diseases
  • Regulatory and market valuation headwinds tempering upside

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.50%
Profit Margin11.13%
P/E Ratio32.0
ROE14.09%
ROA6.25%
Debt/Equity28.29
Op. Cash Flow₩205.4B
Free Cash Flow₩35.9B
Industry P/E27.3

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI64.1
Support₩405,500.00
Resistance₩578,000.00
MA 20₩458,875.00
MA 50₩490,180.00
MA 200₩439,135.00
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.77

Valuation

Fair Value₩28,875.27
Target Price₩572,666.70
Upside/Downside6.84%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.37%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.93
Volatility61.94%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.