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1088:HKEXSelvas AI Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-05 - not real-time

₩9,530.00

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Selvas AI Inc. is trading at 9,530 KRW, well below its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day simple moving averages of 11,067, 12,632 and 12,662 respectively, signaling a strong bearish bias. The RSI of 33 hints at oversold conditions, yet the MACD line remains negative with a bearish histogram, and volume is trending down, reinforcing short‑term downside pressure.
Fundamentally, the company posts negative operating and profit margins (‑1.39% and ‑4.19%), a modest revenue growth of 0.8%, and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 6.7, while free cash flow is negative. The discounted cash‑flow model values the stock at roughly 5,546 KRW—significantly lower than the current price—indicating the shares are overvalued relative to intrinsic estimates. High beta (~1.2) and 30‑day volatility of 51% further amplify risk, especially amid an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
  • Negative operating margins and free cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Substantial cash reserves offsetting high debt
  • Potential upside from AI application market
  • Current valuation still above DCF fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term AI adoption trends could improve revenue growth
  • Persistent profitability and leverage concerns
  • High volatility and market sentiment risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.80%
Profit Margin-4.19%
ROE-0.24%
ROA0.30%
Debt/Equity6.70
Op. Cash Flow₩6.1B
Free Cash Flow₩-709096768
Industry P/E34.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI33.0
Support₩9,410.00
Resistance₩13,800.00
MA 20₩11,067.00
MA 50₩12,631.80
MA 200₩12,662.00
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.93

Valuation

Fair Value₩5,546.01
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta1.21
Volatility51.47%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.