1072:HKEXDongfang Electric Corporation Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
HK$34.20
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Dongfang Electric is trading at HK$34.2, well below its 20‑day SMA of 37.5 and 50‑day SMA of 38.3, indicating short‑term weakness, while still above the 200‑day SMA of 26.9. The RSI sits at 36.9 (near oversold) and the MACD line remains bearish, with price hugging the identified support at HK$33.56 and a clear resistance ceiling near HK$41.2. On the valuation side, the trailing PE of 23.9x is below the industry average of 30.1x, yet the DCF‑derived fair value of only HK$15.2 suggests the market is pricing significant premium into the stock. The company delivers a modest dividend yield of 1.26% with a comfortable payout ratio of 32.5%, backed by a strong cash pile of HK$29.2 bn versus HK$7.4 bn of debt, though free cash flow is currently negative. Volatility is high at 52% over the past 30 days and beta exceeds 1.2, reflecting heightened market sensitivity, while the Fear‑Greed Index reads Extreme Greed, hinting at potential over‑optimism. Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture: solid fundamentals and dividend sustainability counterbalanced by technical weakness, elevated risk metrics, and a valuation gap that may limit upside in the near term.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price testing near support with bearish MACD
- Elevated 30‑day volatility and beta above 1
- Limited upside to resistance at HK$41.2
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of ~5.7% and earnings expansion
- Attractive dividend yield and low payout ratio
- PE advantage versus industry peers
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strategic positioning in renewable and clean‑energy equipment
- Strong balance sheet with ample cash and manageable debt
- Long‑term secular tailwinds in China’s energy transition
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.70%
Profit Margin5.43%
P/E Ratio23.9
ROE9.13%
ROA1.17%
Debt/Equity14.92
P/B Ratio2.2
Op. Cash FlowHK$2.6B
Free Cash FlowHK$-1180138880
Industry P/E30.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI36.9
SupportHK$33.56
ResistanceHK$41.20
MA 20HK$37.54
MA 50HK$38.33
MA 200HK$26.86
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.63
Valuation
Fair ValueHK$15.16
Target PriceHK$47.27
Upside/Downside38.20%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.26%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.28
Volatility52.27%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.