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068270:KRXCelltrion, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

₩173,000.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Celltrion trades just above its short‑term moving average while sitting below its medium‑term average, indicating a modest pullback in momentum. The RSI hovers in the mid‑range, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, and the MACD has turned bearish, reinforcing a cautious outlook in the near term. Despite a neutral overall trend, the stock enjoys strong upside potential relative to downside risk, buoyed by a solid revenue growth trajectory and healthy gross margins that exceed industry norms. Volume remains stable, and the market sentiment index signals extreme greed, which may be inflating short‑term demand. Fundamentally, the company delivers robust operating margins and a modest dividend payout that appears sustainable given its cash position, yet a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio raises concerns about balance‑sheet resilience. The forward PE aligns closely with the sector average, positioning valuation as roughly fair, while the high price‑to‑sales multiple hints at premium pricing. In this context, the recommendation leans toward buying, especially for investors comfortable with biotech’s regulatory and geographic exposure.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price near short‑term support with room to test resistance
  • bearish MACD indicating potential for a corrective bounce
  • stable volume supporting liquidity for entry

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • strong revenue growth and expanding margin profile
  • forward PE comparable to peers, suggesting fair valuation
  • sustainable dividend enhancing total return

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • robust pipeline of biosimilars driving future growth
  • global distribution footprint mitigating single‑market risk
  • balanced risk from high leverage offset by healthy cash flow generation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth36.00%
Profit Margin28.38%
P/E Ratio24.2
ROE7.26%
ROA3.79%
Debt/Equity21.70
Op. Cash Flow₩770.8B
Free Cash Flow₩20.8B
Industry P/E24.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI45.4
Support₩158,500.00
Resistance₩192,380.95
MA 20₩176,775.71
MA 50₩185,228.38
MA 200₩183,629.00
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price₩252,365.83
Upside/Downside45.88%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.41%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.88
Volatility47.88%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.