051910:KRXLG Chem, Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-22 - not real-time
₩260,500.00
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
LG Chem is trading at 260,500 KRW, well below its DCF fair value of 382,310 KRW, implying a potential upside of over 60%. The price sits beneath the 20‑day SMA of 270,100 KRW and the 50‑day SMA of 319,080 KRW, reflecting a short‑term bearish bias, yet the MACD histogram has turned positive (+1,520) and the MACD signal is flagged as bullish, suggesting a possible technical reversal. RSI is around 40, indicating the stock is not overbought and may have room to climb. However, volume is on a decreasing trend and 30‑day volatility is high at 75.5%, while beta of 1.64 points to amplified market moves. On the fundamentals side, the company reports negative operating and profit margins (‑0.4% and ‑4.5% respectively), a heavy debt‑to‑equity ratio of 74, and negative free cash flow, raising concerns about cash generation. The dividend yield of 0.8% appears unsustainable given the zero payout ratio and ongoing losses, yet analysts collectively rate the stock as a Buy with a median target of 440,000 KRW and the market sentiment is in an Extreme Greed phase (Fear & Greed Index 90.98).
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram indicating momentum shift
- Significant upside to DCF fair value
- Price near technical support with room to test higher SMAs
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Analyst consensus target well above current price
- High leverage and negative cash flow limiting earnings growth
- Volatility and beta suggest continued price swings
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Need for debt reduction and cash‑flow improvement
- Potential upside from strategic shifts in battery and specialty chemicals
- Regulatory and environmental pressures on the chemicals sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-2.60%
Profit Margin-4.52%
P/E Ratio11.6
ROE-5.93%
ROA-0.59%
Debt/Equity74.21
Op. Cash Flow₩6165.3B
Free Cash Flow₩-5942740516864
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI40.3
Support₩243,000.00
Resistance₩309,000.00
MA 20₩270,100.00
MA 50₩319,080.00
MA 200₩340,682.50
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.98
Valuation
Fair Value₩382,310.15
Target Price₩430,240.00
Upside/Downside65.16%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.80%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.64
Volatility75.54%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.