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051910:KRXLG Chem, Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-22 - not real-time

₩260,500.00

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

LG Chem is trading at 260,500 KRW, well below its DCF fair value of 382,310 KRW, implying a potential upside of over 60%. The price sits beneath the 20‑day SMA of 270,100 KRW and the 50‑day SMA of 319,080 KRW, reflecting a short‑term bearish bias, yet the MACD histogram has turned positive (+1,520) and the MACD signal is flagged as bullish, suggesting a possible technical reversal. RSI is around 40, indicating the stock is not overbought and may have room to climb. However, volume is on a decreasing trend and 30‑day volatility is high at 75.5%, while beta of 1.64 points to amplified market moves. On the fundamentals side, the company reports negative operating and profit margins (‑0.4% and ‑4.5% respectively), a heavy debt‑to‑equity ratio of 74, and negative free cash flow, raising concerns about cash generation. The dividend yield of 0.8% appears unsustainable given the zero payout ratio and ongoing losses, yet analysts collectively rate the stock as a Buy with a median target of 440,000 KRW and the market sentiment is in an Extreme Greed phase (Fear & Greed Index 90.98).

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD histogram indicating momentum shift
  • Significant upside to DCF fair value
  • Price near technical support with room to test higher SMAs

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst consensus target well above current price
  • High leverage and negative cash flow limiting earnings growth
  • Volatility and beta suggest continued price swings

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Need for debt reduction and cash‑flow improvement
  • Potential upside from strategic shifts in battery and specialty chemicals
  • Regulatory and environmental pressures on the chemicals sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-2.60%
Profit Margin-4.52%
P/E Ratio11.6
ROE-5.93%
ROA-0.59%
Debt/Equity74.21
Op. Cash Flow₩6165.3B
Free Cash Flow₩-5942740516864

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI40.3
Support₩243,000.00
Resistance₩309,000.00
MA 20₩270,100.00
MA 50₩319,080.00
MA 200₩340,682.50
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.98

Valuation

Fair Value₩382,310.15
Target Price₩430,240.00
Upside/Downside65.16%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.80%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.64
Volatility75.54%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.