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047810:KRXKorea Aerospace Industries, Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

₩140,900.00

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

The stock is trading below its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, with the RSI hovering near the 40‑point mark, suggesting a modest oversold condition. Technical indicators such as a bearish MACD histogram and a price sitting just above the identified support level reinforce a neutral‑to‑slightly bearish short‑term bias. Volatility remains elevated at over 65% for the past 30 days, while the beta of roughly 0.7 points to lower systematic risk relative to the market. On the fundamentals side, the company has posted robust revenue growth of more than 50% year‑over‑year, yet profit margins stay thin and operating cash flow is negative, highlighting cash‑generation challenges. The balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 140%, which raises concerns about financial flexibility. However, the forward P/E of about 27 is below the industry average of 30, indicating a valuation edge and supporting the analysts’ consensus “buy” rating. The dividend yield is modest at 0.35% and, given the cash‑flow shortfall, its sustainability is questionable. Analyst targets imply an upside of roughly 38% and the market sentiment index registers “Extreme Greed,” hinting at strong investor appetite. Balancing the upside potential against high leverage and cash‑flow weakness suggests a nuanced view: attractive valuation and growth prospects tempered by financial risk.
Overall, the stock presents a mixed picture where technical support and valuation upside are offset by liquidity strain and debt load, recommending a cautious but opportunistic stance.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and proximity to support level
  • RSI indicating near‑oversold condition
  • High 30‑day volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and forward P/E advantage
  • Analyst upside potential above 35%
  • Sector tailwinds in aerospace and defense

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio and negative cash flow
  • Potential for government contracts and UAV market expansion
  • Sustainable dividend concerns

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth56.30%
Profit Margin4.84%
P/E Ratio27.2
ROE10.92%
ROA1.82%
Debt/Equity144.35
Op. Cash Flow₩-1141489926144
Free Cash Flow₩-1364682997760
Industry P/E30.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI39.2
Support₩121,700.00
Resistance₩175,200.00
MA 20₩154,155.00
MA 50₩169,884.00
MA 200₩139,057.50
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price₩194,909.10
Upside/Downside38.33%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.35%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.70
Volatility65.23%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.