042700:KRXHANMI Semiconductor Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
₩292,500.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: HANMI Semiconductor is trading at 292,500 KRW, comfortably above the 277,000 KRW support but well below the 426,000 KRW resistance. The 20‑day SMA sits above the 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, signaling a longer‑term bullish bias, yet the MACD is bearish and the RSI at 41.7 hints at modest downside momentum. Volatility is elevated at over 112% for the past 30 days and a beta of 1.33 points to higher‑than‑average market sensitivity.
Fundamental snapshot: Revenue has collapsed by 65.5%, but the company retains strong profitability with a 55.6% gross margin, 16.6% operating margin and a 37% net profit margin. Return on equity is impressive at 30.8% and cash balances (≈176 bn KRW) dwarf modest debt (≈2.3 bn KRW), supporting a sustainable dividend payout of 0.25% (payout ratio ~43%).
Valuation and risk: The forward P/E of 53 is well above the industry average of 40, and the DCF‑derived fair value (~13,200 KRW) is far below the current price, indicating the stock is overvalued by roughly 15%. High volatility, sector cyclicality, and exposure to Korean and foreign exchange markets elevate risk, while liquidity remains strong given stable volumes and a large market cap.
Fundamental snapshot: Revenue has collapsed by 65.5%, but the company retains strong profitability with a 55.6% gross margin, 16.6% operating margin and a 37% net profit margin. Return on equity is impressive at 30.8% and cash balances (≈176 bn KRW) dwarf modest debt (≈2.3 bn KRW), supporting a sustainable dividend payout of 0.25% (payout ratio ~43%).
Valuation and risk: The forward P/E of 53 is well above the industry average of 40, and the DCF‑derived fair value (~13,200 KRW) is far below the current price, indicating the stock is overvalued by roughly 15%. High volatility, sector cyclicality, and exposure to Korean and foreign exchange markets elevate risk, while liquidity remains strong given stable volumes and a large market cap.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram and price decline from prior close
- Current price near but above key support level
- Overvaluation relative to DCF fair value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Significant revenue contraction despite strong margins
- High forward P/E versus industry peers
- Robust cash position and moderate dividend sustainability
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong ROE and gross margin indicating durable profitability
- Low leverage and ample cash providing financial flexibility
- Potential recovery in semiconductor equipment demand could reignite revenue growth
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-65.50%
Profit Margin37.13%
P/E Ratio53.0
ROE30.80%
ROA16.63%
Debt/Equity0.35
Op. Cash Flow₩161.0B
Free Cash Flow₩82.0B
Industry P/E40.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI41.7
Support₩277,000.00
Resistance₩426,000.00
MA 20₩354,525.00
MA 50₩313,990.00
MA 200₩187,450.00
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.34
Valuation
Fair Value₩13,186.59
Target Price₩248,125.00
Upside/Downside-15.17%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.25%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.33
Volatility112.42%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.