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036570:KRXNCSOFT Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-18 - not real-time

₩258,500.00

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at 258,500 KRW, just below its 20‑day SMA (265,100) but comfortably above the 50‑day (239,970) and 200‑day (219,422) averages, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term bullish framework. Technical indicators show a neutral‑to‑slightly‑overbought RSI at 58, a bearish MACD crossover (histogram –744) and stable volume, while the price sits near the lower end of its 235,500 support‑resistance corridor (235,500 – 293,000). Market sentiment is extremely bullish per the Fear & Greed Index (88.77), yet the 30‑day volatility is high at 56 % and beta is low (0.40), suggesting price swings are driven more by company‑specific factors than market moves.
Fundamentally, NC Corporation posted 1.51 trillion KRW in revenue with a modest –1.3 % YoY decline, razor‑thin operating margins (0.86 %) but a surprisingly high profit margin (23 %). The balance sheet is cash‑rich (≈2 trillion KRW) but levered (debt‑to‑equity ≈10.6), and the dividend yield is modest (0.42 %) with a low payout ratio (8 %). Analyst consensus (22 analysts) targets a median price of 345,000 KRW, implying upside, yet the DCF fair value (≈210,000 KRW) flags the current level as potentially overvalued. The overall picture is a company with strong cash resources and growth potential in gaming, tempered by earnings compression and a high debt load.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price just below 20‑day SMA suggesting limited upside
  • Bearish MACD histogram indicating short‑term momentum weakness
  • High 30‑day volatility increasing downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst price targets imply ~27 % upside
  • Low beta and strong cash position reduce market risk
  • Dividend yield, albeit modest, is sustainable with low payout

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue contraction and thin operating margins limit growth
  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio could pressure financial flexibility
  • Current price exceeds DCF fair value, suggesting limited long‑term upside

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-1.30%
Profit Margin23.00%
P/E Ratio12.8
ROE10.80%
ROA0.12%
Debt/Equity10.59
Op. Cash Flow₩162.0B
Free Cash Flow₩185.7B
Industry P/E17.3

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI58.3
Support₩235,500.00
Resistance₩293,000.00
MA 20₩265,100.00
MA 50₩239,970.00
MA 200₩219,421.50
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.77

Valuation

Fair Value₩210,077.97
Target Price₩328,636.38
Upside/Downside27.13%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.42%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.40
Volatility56.23%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.