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023530:KRXLotte Shopping Co., Ltd Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

₩195,600.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Lotte Shopping's stock is trading at 195,600 KRW, comfortably above its 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs, indicating a bullish price trend. The 14‑day RSI 69.8 suggests the stock is approaching overbought territory, yet the MACD remains bullish with a positive histogram, reinforcing momentum. Volume has been increasing, supporting the upward move. The forward P/E 14.5 is modest for a consumer‑cyclical retailer, while the price‑to‑sales 0.40 points to relative cheapness on a sales basis. A dividend yield of 1.98% and a payout ratio 69% provide attractive income, though the high debt‑to‑equity 83.6% tempers sustainability.
Profit margins are thin (≈1.2%) and ROE is low at 1.2%, indicating limited profitability. The balance sheet shows substantial cash (2.3T KRW) but debt (14.2T KRW) remains a concern. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at 72%, and beta near zero reflects a stock that moves more on company‑specific factors than market swings. The stock faces sector risk typical of consumer discretionary firms, especially in a tightening economy. With the price near the 52‑week high of 206,000 KRW, upside potential is limited in the short run, though the technical set‑up remains bullish. Overall, the mix of modest valuation, strong dividend, and high debt suggests a cautious but positive outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near 52‑week high/resistance
  • RSI indicating overbought conditions
  • increasing volume supports momentum but caution warranted

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • bullish technical alignment above SMAs
  • reasonable forward P/E suggesting fair valuation
  • stable dividend yield adding income appeal

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • high debt‑to‑equity raises balance‑sheet risk
  • modest revenue growth and low ROE limit profitability
  • dividend sustainability concerns despite attractive yield

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.60%
Profit Margin1.18%
P/E Ratio14.5
ROE1.17%
ROA0.98%
Debt/Equity83.56
Op. Cash Flow₩1838.3B
Free Cash Flow₩387.2B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI69.8
Support₩140,400.00
Resistance₩206,000.00
MA 20₩167,185.00
MA 50₩140,040.00
MA 200₩94,048.50
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.63

Valuation

Target Price₩166,285.72
Upside/Downside-14.99%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.98%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.04
Volatility72.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.