011170:KRXLotte Chemical Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
₩76,500.00
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Lotte Chemical is trading at 76,500 KRW, which sits below its 20‑day (80,315 KRW) and 50‑day (87,866 KRW) SMAs and just under the 200‑day SMA (77,002 KRW), indicating a short‑term weakness. The RSI of 41.6 and a bearish MACD histogram reinforce the downside bias, while volume is on a decreasing trend and 30‑day volatility exceeds 100 %, suggesting heightened price swings. Despite these technical pressures, the Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed” (89.86) and analysts project a mean target of 103,118 KRW, implying a potential upside of roughly 35 %.
Fundamentally, the company shows modest revenue growth (1.8 %) but is operating at a -9.7 % profit margin, with negative operating and free cash flow and a high debt load (DE ratio ~58). The dividend yield of 1.31 % is backed by a payout ratio above 140 %, which is unsustainable given zero EPS. However, a low price‑to‑sales multiple (0.17) and the sizable upside in analyst targets hint at a valuation gap that could be attractive if the business can stabilize earnings and improve cash generation.
Fundamentally, the company shows modest revenue growth (1.8 %) but is operating at a -9.7 % profit margin, with negative operating and free cash flow and a high debt load (DE ratio ~58). The dividend yield of 1.31 % is backed by a payout ratio above 140 %, which is unsustainable given zero EPS. However, a low price‑to‑sales multiple (0.17) and the sizable upside in analyst targets hint at a valuation gap that could be attractive if the business can stabilize earnings and improve cash generation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- price below key moving averages
- bearish MACD and decreasing volume
- negative earnings and cash flow
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- analyst median target suggesting ~35% upside
- low price‑to‑sales valuation
- potential recovery in petrochemical demand
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- strategic shift toward battery and hydrogen materials
- undervalued sales multiple
- industry tailwinds for green plastics and recycling
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth1.80%
Profit Margin-9.67%
P/E Ratio-11.9
ROE-11.48%
ROA-1.39%
Debt/Equity58.36
Op. Cash Flow₩-552353005568
Free Cash Flow₩-1672270184448
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI41.6
Support₩71,600.00
Resistance₩93,100.00
MA 20₩80,315.00
MA 50₩87,866.00
MA 200₩77,002.00
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price₩103,117.65
Upside/Downside34.79%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.31%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.56
Volatility100.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.