010950:KRXS-Oil Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-29 - not real-time
₩107,400.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Current price sits at ~107,400 KRW, comfortably below the 20‑day (115,135) and 50‑day (114,602) SMAs but still above the 200‑day average (≈89,684), indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI around 41 suggests neutral momentum while the MACD line remains bearish, and trading volume has been on a decline, adding pressure on the near‑term side. Valuation metrics are compelling: a forward P/E of 9.24 is less than half the industry average of 20.5, and the discounted cash‑flow model pins a fair value near 149,700 KRW, implying roughly 26% upside to the current level. The dividend yield is modest at 0.31% with a very low payout ratio (~4%), which, despite negative free cash flow, points to a sustainable policy given the solid cash balance.
From a fundamentals perspective, revenue is flat (‑0.5% YoY) and margins are thin (gross 6.8%, profit 2.8%), yet the company carries a strong cash reserve (≈1.58 trillion KRW) against a high debt load (DE/Equity ≈87.5%). Analyst consensus leans “Buy” with a median target of 137,500 KRW, reinforcing the upside narrative. The extreme‑greed sentiment index (≈94) underscores market optimism, but the 30‑day volatility of over 53% and a beta under 0.5 flag heightened price swings.
Overall, S‑Oil appears undervalued relative to peers, with a clear upside path anchored by its strategic backing from Aramco and a stable energy demand outlook. Investors should weigh the short‑term technical softness against the longer‑term value proposition and modest, sustainable dividend, while keeping an eye on leverage and cash‑flow dynamics.
From a fundamentals perspective, revenue is flat (‑0.5% YoY) and margins are thin (gross 6.8%, profit 2.8%), yet the company carries a strong cash reserve (≈1.58 trillion KRW) against a high debt load (DE/Equity ≈87.5%). Analyst consensus leans “Buy” with a median target of 137,500 KRW, reinforcing the upside narrative. The extreme‑greed sentiment index (≈94) underscores market optimism, but the 30‑day volatility of over 53% and a beta under 0.5 flag heightened price swings.
Overall, S‑Oil appears undervalued relative to peers, with a clear upside path anchored by its strategic backing from Aramco and a stable energy demand outlook. Investors should weigh the short‑term technical softness against the longer‑term value proposition and modest, sustainable dividend, while keeping an eye on leverage and cash‑flow dynamics.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Decreasing trading volume
- Price below short‑term moving averages
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF‑derived upside of ~26%
- Forward P/E far below industry average
- Analyst target median well above current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strategic ownership by Aramco providing stability
- Sustainable dividend despite low yield
- Undervalued valuation with long‑term energy demand tailwinds
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.50%
Profit Margin2.76%
P/E Ratio9.2
ROE10.35%
ROA3.51%
Debt/Equity87.53
Op. Cash Flow₩2626.0B
Free Cash Flow₩-1064634023936
Industry P/E20.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI41.0
Support₩102,100.00
Resistance₩137,500.00
MA 20₩115,135.00
MA 50₩114,602.00
MA 200₩89,683.75
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.98
Valuation
Fair Value₩149,716.89
Target Price₩135,444.44
Upside/Downside26.11%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.31%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.47
Volatility53.66%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.