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010950:KRXS-Oil Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-29 - not real-time

₩107,400.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Current price sits at ~107,400 KRW, comfortably below the 20‑day (115,135) and 50‑day (114,602) SMAs but still above the 200‑day average (≈89,684), indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term uptrend. The RSI around 41 suggests neutral momentum while the MACD line remains bearish, and trading volume has been on a decline, adding pressure on the near‑term side. Valuation metrics are compelling: a forward P/E of 9.24 is less than half the industry average of 20.5, and the discounted cash‑flow model pins a fair value near 149,700 KRW, implying roughly 26% upside to the current level. The dividend yield is modest at 0.31% with a very low payout ratio (~4%), which, despite negative free cash flow, points to a sustainable policy given the solid cash balance.
From a fundamentals perspective, revenue is flat (‑0.5% YoY) and margins are thin (gross 6.8%, profit 2.8%), yet the company carries a strong cash reserve (≈1.58 trillion KRW) against a high debt load (DE/Equity ≈87.5%). Analyst consensus leans “Buy” with a median target of 137,500 KRW, reinforcing the upside narrative. The extreme‑greed sentiment index (≈94) underscores market optimism, but the 30‑day volatility of over 53% and a beta under 0.5 flag heightened price swings.
Overall, S‑Oil appears undervalued relative to peers, with a clear upside path anchored by its strategic backing from Aramco and a stable energy demand outlook. Investors should weigh the short‑term technical softness against the longer‑term value proposition and modest, sustainable dividend, while keeping an eye on leverage and cash‑flow dynamics.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Decreasing trading volume
  • Price below short‑term moving averages

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF‑derived upside of ~26%
  • Forward P/E far below industry average
  • Analyst target median well above current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic ownership by Aramco providing stability
  • Sustainable dividend despite low yield
  • Undervalued valuation with long‑term energy demand tailwinds

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.50%
Profit Margin2.76%
P/E Ratio9.2
ROE10.35%
ROA3.51%
Debt/Equity87.53
Op. Cash Flow₩2626.0B
Free Cash Flow₩-1064634023936
Industry P/E20.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI41.0
Support₩102,100.00
Resistance₩137,500.00
MA 20₩115,135.00
MA 50₩114,602.00
MA 200₩89,683.75
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.98

Valuation

Fair Value₩149,716.89
Target Price₩135,444.44
Upside/Downside26.11%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.31%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.47
Volatility53.66%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.