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009540:KRXHD KOREA SHIPBUILDING & OFFSHORE ENGINEERING CO. LTD. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-03 - not real-time

₩359,500.00

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

HD Korea Shipbuilding is trading well below its discounted cash‑flow fair value, offering a substantial upside potential. The stock sits under the 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, while the RSI around the low‑40s suggests limited upward momentum but no oversold condition. A bearish MACD histogram reinforces the short‑term downside bias, yet the recent win of six VLAC orders worth 1.08 trillion won and a 748.5 billion‑won LNG carrier deal provide fresh order‑book momentum. Volatility is elevated at over 65% and beta exceeds 1.2, indicating higher price swings relative to the market. Despite a high debt‑to‑equity ratio, the company generates strong operating cash flow and maintains a comfortable dividend yield of 2.5% with a payout below 35%.
The valuation metrics are compelling: a forward P/E of just over 6 versus an industry average near 32, and a price‑to‑sales under 1, flagging the stock as markedly undervalued. With a solid dividend and a pipeline of green‑propulsion projects, the fundamentals tilt toward a long‑run growth narrative, while the current technical setup and material news suggest a buying opportunity for patient investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Technical indicators show bearish momentum but price remains above key support
  • Recent high‑value VLAC and LNG carrier orders boost near‑term demand
  • Valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained order backlog and diversification into green ship propulsion
  • Undervalued multiples relative to industry peers
  • Stable dividend yield supporting cash‑flow generation

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑run upside indicated by DCF fair value far above current price
  • Strategic positioning in defense and offshore sectors with high entry barriers
  • Strong operating cash flow and manageable payout ratio ensuring dividend sustainability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth20.20%
Profit Margin8.04%
P/E Ratio6.3
ROE21.76%
ROA6.73%
Debt/Equity8.73
Op. Cash Flow₩4013.1B
Free Cash Flow₩1877.3B
Industry P/E31.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI41.6
Support₩338,000.00
Resistance₩451,500.00
MA 20₩382,500.00
MA 50₩415,350.00
MA 200₩417,682.50
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.96

Valuation

Fair Value₩915,452.57
Target Price₩594,714.30
Upside/Downside65.43%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield2.51%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.22
Volatility65.24%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.