008930:KRXHanmi Science Co., Ltd Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
₩31,550.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hanmi Science (008930.KS) is trading at a steep premium, with the current price of 31,550 KRW far above the DCF‑derived fair value of 1,775 KRW, indicating an overvalued market stance. Technical metrics reinforce a cautious outlook: the stock sits below its 50‑day (35,278 KRW) and 200‑day (38,283 KRW) moving averages, the RSI hovers at 45 (neutral), while the MACD shows a modest bullish histogram (+204) but remains in negative territory. Volatility is high at ~55% over the past 30 days and beta is modest (0.69), suggesting price swings without strong market‑wide correlation.
On the fundamentals side, revenue is growing at 6.7% YoY, and a recent licensing agreement with Eli Lilly on the sonefpeglutide analog adds a notable growth catalyst. However, the company carries a heavy debt load (Debt‑to‑Equity 18.8) despite solid cash reserves, and its dividend yield is modest (0.97%) with a low payout ratio (15%). These mixed signals point to a short‑term downside risk, a medium‑term hold stance pending pipeline outcomes, and a cautious long‑term outlook.
On the fundamentals side, revenue is growing at 6.7% YoY, and a recent licensing agreement with Eli Lilly on the sonefpeglutide analog adds a notable growth catalyst. However, the company carries a heavy debt load (Debt‑to‑Equity 18.8) despite solid cash reserves, and its dividend yield is modest (0.97%) with a low payout ratio (15%). These mixed signals point to a short‑term downside risk, a medium‑term hold stance pending pipeline outcomes, and a cautious long‑term outlook.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price well above DCF fair value
- Bearish technical positioning (below SMA50/SMA200)
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 6.7% and Lilly licensing deal
- Modest dividend yield with low payout ratio
- Still overvalued relative to fundamentals
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term pipeline potential in diabetes and oncology
- Heavy debt burden requiring deleveraging
- Sustainable dividend but limited upside without earnings improvement
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth6.70%
Profit Margin9.85%
ROE14.60%
ROA2.78%
Debt/Equity18.82
Op. Cash Flow₩57.6B
Free Cash Flow₩10.9B
Industry P/E24.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI45.4
Support₩28,100.00
Resistance₩35,050.00
MA 20₩31,465.00
MA 50₩35,278.00
MA 200₩38,283.25
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.13
Valuation
Fair Value₩1,775.08
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.97%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.69
Volatility54.93%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.