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005830:KRXDB INSURANCE CO. LTD Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time

₩142,700.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

DB Insurance trades around KRW 142,700, well below its 20‑day SMA (KRW 145,545), 50‑day SMA (KRW 158,450) and 200‑day SMA (KRW 147,822), signaling a short‑term discount. The MACD histogram is positive (+955) and the MACD signal is bullish, while the RSI sits at 41, suggesting room for upside without being oversold. Fundamentally, the forward P/E of 4.51 is far under the industry average of 16.9, and the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly KRW 1.23 million implies a potential upside of about 50%. The company also offers a high dividend yield of 5.24% with a modest payout ratio (~29%), indicating dividend sustainability despite negative free cash flow.
Volatility is elevated at 48% over the past 30 days and beta is sub‑1 (≈0.7), reflecting higher price swings but lower market correlation. Volume is trending down, and the max drawdown of –33.7% highlights historical downside risk. Overall, the stock appears materially undervalued with attractive income, but investors should be mindful of liquidity constraints and the need for cash‑flow improvement.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages indicating discount
  • Bullish MACD divergence
  • High dividend yield supporting total return

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward P/E far below industry average
  • DCF upside of ~50% versus current price
  • Consistent revenue growth (~10% YoY) and solid dividend

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend income
  • Sector stability of property & casualty insurance
  • Need for improvement in free cash flow and operating margins

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth10.60%
Profit Margin7.63%
P/E Ratio4.5
ROE16.13%
ROA1.91%
Debt/Equity36.58
Op. Cash Flow₩2062.4B
Free Cash Flow₩-4372403060736
Industry P/E16.9

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI41.5
Support₩132,500.00
Resistance₩158,700.00
MA 20₩145,545.00
MA 50₩158,450.00
MA 200₩147,821.50
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46

Valuation

Fair Value₩1,233,417.34
Target Price₩214,722.22
Upside/Downside50.47%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.24%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.70
Volatility48.01%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.