004020:KRXHyundai Steel Company Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-07 - not real-time
₩35,900.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Hyundai Steel is trading at 35,900 KRW, just above the calculated support of 35,150 KRW and well below its 20‑day SMA of 41,020 KRW, indicating a potential price floor and a sizable upside to the 50‑day SMA of 39,579 KRW. The RSI of 38.6 points to a modestly oversold condition, while the MACD shows a bearish divergence with the histogram deep in negative territory, suggesting short‑term downside pressure despite the overall bullish trend flag. Volume is on a decreasing trajectory, and 30‑day volatility is elevated at roughly 69 %, which together raise caution on near‑term price swings. On the valuation side, a forward P/E of 9.65× and a price‑to‑sales of 0.21× place the stock in the undervalued bracket, reinforced by a dividend yield of 1.39 % and a very low payout ratio of about 9 %, implying dividend sustainability. The market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (FGI 83) and an upside potential of roughly 38 % to the consensus target of ~50,000 KRW further support a positive outlook.
Fundamentally, Hyundai Steel’s revenue is growing modestly at 3.2 % YoY, with solid operating cash flow and free cash flow generation, while its debt‑to‑equity ratio of 55 % remains manageable for a capital‑intensive steel producer. The company’s exposure to diversified geographic markets (Korea, Asia, US, Europe) and its role in cyclical industries such as automotive, shipbuilding, and construction add both growth avenues and sector‑specific risk. Given the blend of attractive valuation, sustainable dividend, and macro‑driven upside, the stock is positioned for a buy recommendation, though investors should monitor the high volatility and bearish MACD signals for near‑term entry timing.
Fundamentally, Hyundai Steel’s revenue is growing modestly at 3.2 % YoY, with solid operating cash flow and free cash flow generation, while its debt‑to‑equity ratio of 55 % remains manageable for a capital‑intensive steel producer. The company’s exposure to diversified geographic markets (Korea, Asia, US, Europe) and its role in cyclical industries such as automotive, shipbuilding, and construction add both growth avenues and sector‑specific risk. Given the blend of attractive valuation, sustainable dividend, and macro‑driven upside, the stock is positioned for a buy recommendation, though investors should monitor the high volatility and bearish MACD signals for near‑term entry timing.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price near technical support with upside to SMA levels
- Oversold RSI suggesting rebound potential
- High volatility and decreasing volume warrant cautious entry
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued forward P/E and strong price‑to‑sales multiple
- Sustainable dividend and low payout ratio
- Target price upside of ~38% aligned with analyst consensus
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Cyclical nature of the steel sector and exposure to regulatory shifts
- Solid cash flow generation supporting dividend continuity
- Geographic diversification mitigating single‑market concentration risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.20%
Profit Margin0.03%
P/E Ratio9.6
ROE0.08%
ROA0.46%
Debt/Equity55.22
Op. Cash Flow₩1778.7B
Free Cash Flow₩293.9B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI38.6
Support₩35,150.00
Resistance₩50,200.00
MA 20₩41,020.00
MA 50₩39,579.00
MA 200₩34,750.00
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02
Valuation
Target Price₩49,778.57
Upside/Downside38.66%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.39%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.94
Volatility69.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.