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004020:KRXHyundai Steel Company Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-07 - not real-time

₩35,900.00

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Hyundai Steel is trading at 35,900 KRW, just above the calculated support of 35,150 KRW and well below its 20‑day SMA of 41,020 KRW, indicating a potential price floor and a sizable upside to the 50‑day SMA of 39,579 KRW. The RSI of 38.6 points to a modestly oversold condition, while the MACD shows a bearish divergence with the histogram deep in negative territory, suggesting short‑term downside pressure despite the overall bullish trend flag. Volume is on a decreasing trajectory, and 30‑day volatility is elevated at roughly 69 %, which together raise caution on near‑term price swings. On the valuation side, a forward P/E of 9.65× and a price‑to‑sales of 0.21× place the stock in the undervalued bracket, reinforced by a dividend yield of 1.39 % and a very low payout ratio of about 9 %, implying dividend sustainability. The market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (FGI 83) and an upside potential of roughly 38 % to the consensus target of ~50,000 KRW further support a positive outlook.
Fundamentally, Hyundai Steel’s revenue is growing modestly at 3.2 % YoY, with solid operating cash flow and free cash flow generation, while its debt‑to‑equity ratio of 55 % remains manageable for a capital‑intensive steel producer. The company’s exposure to diversified geographic markets (Korea, Asia, US, Europe) and its role in cyclical industries such as automotive, shipbuilding, and construction add both growth avenues and sector‑specific risk. Given the blend of attractive valuation, sustainable dividend, and macro‑driven upside, the stock is positioned for a buy recommendation, though investors should monitor the high volatility and bearish MACD signals for near‑term entry timing.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with upside to SMA levels
  • Oversold RSI suggesting rebound potential
  • High volatility and decreasing volume warrant cautious entry

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued forward P/E and strong price‑to‑sales multiple
  • Sustainable dividend and low payout ratio
  • Target price upside of ~38% aligned with analyst consensus

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Cyclical nature of the steel sector and exposure to regulatory shifts
  • Solid cash flow generation supporting dividend continuity
  • Geographic diversification mitigating single‑market concentration risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.20%
Profit Margin0.03%
P/E Ratio9.6
ROE0.08%
ROA0.46%
Debt/Equity55.22
Op. Cash Flow₩1778.7B
Free Cash Flow₩293.9B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI38.6
Support₩35,150.00
Resistance₩50,200.00
MA 20₩41,020.00
MA 50₩39,579.00
MA 200₩34,750.00
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index83.02

Valuation

Target Price₩49,778.57
Upside/Downside38.66%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.39%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.94
Volatility69.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.