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002601:SZSELB Group Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-12 - not real-time

CN¥14.78

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At ¥14.78, LB Group Co., Ltd. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. Over a rolling month the price has lost 9.8%. Relative strength is 35.8 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. The recent range runs from support at ¥14.57 up to resistance at ¥16.70.
Multiples put this in fair territory at a P/E of 51.0. The average analyst target implies 45.8% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 15.7% on a 2.6% profit margin. The 4.06% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 32.8%, a beta of 0.15 and a maximum drawdown of 40.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 4 out of 10.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 17.75
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 17.75
  • Analyst targets imply +45.8% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst targets imply +45.8% versus the current price
  • Revenue growth of +15.7%
  • Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth15.70%
Profit Margin2.60%
P/E Ratio51.0
ROE2.84%
ROA1.80%
Debt/Equity83.69
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥4.3B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-649984768

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI35.8
SupportCN¥14.57
ResistanceCN¥16.70
MA 20CN¥15.74
MA 50CN¥16.04
MA 200CN¥17.75
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.14

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥22.49
Target PriceCN¥21.55
Upside/Downside45.78%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.06%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.15
Volatility32.83%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.