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002594:SZSEBYD Company Limited Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

CN¥91.60

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

BYD is trading at CNY 91.6, which sits below its 20‑day (93.87), 50‑day (98.37) and 200‑day (99.57) moving averages, signaling a short‑term bearish bias. Technical indicators such as a bearish MACD histogram (-0.25) and an RSI of 40.6 reinforce this downside pressure, while the price is hovering just above the nearest support at 88.88. Fundamentally, the stock carries a lofty trailing PE of 46.97 versus a forward PE of 16.34, a negative revenue growth of 11.8%, and a DCF‑derived fair value of only CNY 52.6, suggesting it is materially overvalued at current levels.
Nevertheless, the company boasts a solid dividend yield of 1.45% with a payout ratio near 68%, and analysts remain bullish, assigning a "strong_buy" rating and a median price target of CNY 124, implying potential upside if the business can revive growth and improve cash generation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages
  • Bearish MACD and RSI indicating momentum weakness
  • Proximity to support level with limited upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst consensus strong‑buy and high target price
  • Forward earnings compression (forward PE 16.3)
  • Potential recovery in EV/battery segment

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend yield but high payout ratio
  • Long‑term growth prospects in electric vehicles and rail
  • Current valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-11.80%
Profit Margin3.52%
P/E Ratio47.0
ROE11.15%
ROA2.30%
Debt/Equity55.07
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash FlowCN¥53.3B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-117094318080

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI40.6
SupportCN¥88.88
ResistanceCN¥99.50
MA 20CN¥93.87
MA 50CN¥98.37
MA 200CN¥99.57
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥52.58
Target PriceCN¥119.65
Upside/Downside30.62%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.45%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.03
Volatility27.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.