002594:SZSEBYD Company Limited Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
CN¥91.60
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
BYD is trading at CNY 91.6, which sits below its 20‑day (93.87), 50‑day (98.37) and 200‑day (99.57) moving averages, signaling a short‑term bearish bias. Technical indicators such as a bearish MACD histogram (-0.25) and an RSI of 40.6 reinforce this downside pressure, while the price is hovering just above the nearest support at 88.88. Fundamentally, the stock carries a lofty trailing PE of 46.97 versus a forward PE of 16.34, a negative revenue growth of 11.8%, and a DCF‑derived fair value of only CNY 52.6, suggesting it is materially overvalued at current levels.
Nevertheless, the company boasts a solid dividend yield of 1.45% with a payout ratio near 68%, and analysts remain bullish, assigning a "strong_buy" rating and a median price target of CNY 124, implying potential upside if the business can revive growth and improve cash generation.
Nevertheless, the company boasts a solid dividend yield of 1.45% with a payout ratio near 68%, and analysts remain bullish, assigning a "strong_buy" rating and a median price target of CNY 124, implying potential upside if the business can revive growth and improve cash generation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages
- Bearish MACD and RSI indicating momentum weakness
- Proximity to support level with limited upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Analyst consensus strong‑buy and high target price
- Forward earnings compression (forward PE 16.3)
- Potential recovery in EV/battery segment
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable dividend yield but high payout ratio
- Long‑term growth prospects in electric vehicles and rail
- Current valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-11.80%
Profit Margin3.52%
P/E Ratio47.0
ROE11.15%
ROA2.30%
Debt/Equity55.07
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash FlowCN¥53.3B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-117094318080
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI40.6
SupportCN¥88.88
ResistanceCN¥99.50
MA 20CN¥93.87
MA 50CN¥98.37
MA 200CN¥99.57
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥52.58
Target PriceCN¥119.65
Upside/Downside30.62%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.45%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.03
Volatility27.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.