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002493:SZSERongsheng Petrochemical Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-28 - not real-time

CN¥11.73

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Rongsheng Petrochemical is trading below all of its short‑ and long‑term moving averages, with price under the 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. The MACD histogram is positive and the RSI sits near the midpoint, suggesting limited momentum but no immediate oversold condition, while volatility remains elevated and volume is stable. Fundamentally, revenue has contracted sharply, margins are thin and the balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with debt far exceeding equity and free cash flow turning negative.
Despite these pressures, the company still pays a modest dividend, the forward earnings outlook improves the PE multiple, and a discounted cash‑flow model points to a sizable valuation gap, implying potential upside. Analyst consensus remains bullish, indicating that the market may be under‑pricing the longer‑term recovery prospects in the chemicals sector.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below key moving averages
  • high short‑term volatility
  • significant debt burden

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • DCF‑derived valuation gap
  • improving forward PE multiple
  • analyst consensus of buy

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • structural demand for petrochemical products
  • potential for balance‑sheet deleveraging
  • sustained dividend yield despite current cash constraints

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-19.10%
Profit Margin1.04%
P/E Ratio36.7
ROE7.10%
ROA2.04%
Debt/Equity216.53
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowCN¥46.0B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-25592322048

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI52.1
SupportCN¥10.50
ResistanceCN¥12.65
MA 20CN¥11.46
MA 50CN¥11.48
MA 200CN¥11.72
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.91

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥21.57
Target PriceCN¥12.75
Upside/Downside8.70%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.85%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.11
Volatility58.01%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.