002493:SZSERongsheng Petrochemical Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-28 - not real-time
CN¥11.73
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Rongsheng Petrochemical is trading below all of its short‑ and long‑term moving averages, with price under the 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, signaling a bearish technical backdrop. The MACD histogram is positive and the RSI sits near the midpoint, suggesting limited momentum but no immediate oversold condition, while volatility remains elevated and volume is stable. Fundamentally, revenue has contracted sharply, margins are thin and the balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with debt far exceeding equity and free cash flow turning negative.
Despite these pressures, the company still pays a modest dividend, the forward earnings outlook improves the PE multiple, and a discounted cash‑flow model points to a sizable valuation gap, implying potential upside. Analyst consensus remains bullish, indicating that the market may be under‑pricing the longer‑term recovery prospects in the chemicals sector.
Despite these pressures, the company still pays a modest dividend, the forward earnings outlook improves the PE multiple, and a discounted cash‑flow model points to a sizable valuation gap, implying potential upside. Analyst consensus remains bullish, indicating that the market may be under‑pricing the longer‑term recovery prospects in the chemicals sector.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price below key moving averages
- high short‑term volatility
- significant debt burden
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF‑derived valuation gap
- improving forward PE multiple
- analyst consensus of buy
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- structural demand for petrochemical products
- potential for balance‑sheet deleveraging
- sustained dividend yield despite current cash constraints
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-19.10%
Profit Margin1.04%
P/E Ratio36.7
ROE7.10%
ROA2.04%
Debt/Equity216.53
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowCN¥46.0B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-25592322048
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI52.1
SupportCN¥10.50
ResistanceCN¥12.65
MA 20CN¥11.46
MA 50CN¥11.48
MA 200CN¥11.72
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.91
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥21.57
Target PriceCN¥12.75
Upside/Downside8.70%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.85%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.11
Volatility58.01%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.