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002422:SZSESichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

CN¥37.31

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical is trading in a bullish technical environment, with the 20‑day SMA comfortably above both the 50‑day and 200‑day averages and a MACD histogram in positive territory. RSI around the low‑sixties supports continued upside without being overbought, while price sits just below a clear resistance near the recent high. Fundamentally, the stock appears stretched – the trailing P/E is well above the industry average and the discounted cash‑flow model suggests a fair value far lower than the current market price. The company enjoys a strong cash buffer and modest leverage, enabling a dividend yield of roughly 1.6% with a payout ratio near two‑thirds, though earnings growth remains modest. Overall, the blend of bullish momentum, high valuation, and solid balance‑sheet fundamentals creates a nuanced outlook that varies by investment horizon.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price approaching near‑term resistance
  • Technical indicators still bullish
  • Valuation remains high relative to peers

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained bullish trend with stable volume
  • Forward earnings estimate improving
  • Attractive dividend yield and low debt

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash position and manageable leverage
  • Diversified product portfolio in a growing healthcare sector
  • Potential for earnings acceleration as new products mature

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-3.00%
Profit Margin8.55%
P/E Ratio37.7
ROE5.91%
ROA2.61%
Debt/Equity16.19
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowCN¥2.4B
Free Cash FlowCN¥845.0M
Industry P/E24.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI60.9
SupportCN¥30.30
ResistanceCN¥38.27
MA 20CN¥34.68
MA 50CN¥34.32
MA 200CN¥33.98
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥9.20
Target PriceCN¥41.29
Upside/Downside10.67%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.59%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.10
Volatility47.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.