002422:SZSESichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
CN¥37.31
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical is trading in a bullish technical environment, with the 20‑day SMA comfortably above both the 50‑day and 200‑day averages and a MACD histogram in positive territory. RSI around the low‑sixties supports continued upside without being overbought, while price sits just below a clear resistance near the recent high. Fundamentally, the stock appears stretched – the trailing P/E is well above the industry average and the discounted cash‑flow model suggests a fair value far lower than the current market price. The company enjoys a strong cash buffer and modest leverage, enabling a dividend yield of roughly 1.6% with a payout ratio near two‑thirds, though earnings growth remains modest. Overall, the blend of bullish momentum, high valuation, and solid balance‑sheet fundamentals creates a nuanced outlook that varies by investment horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price approaching near‑term resistance
- Technical indicators still bullish
- Valuation remains high relative to peers
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained bullish trend with stable volume
- Forward earnings estimate improving
- Attractive dividend yield and low debt
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong cash position and manageable leverage
- Diversified product portfolio in a growing healthcare sector
- Potential for earnings acceleration as new products mature
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-3.00%
Profit Margin8.55%
P/E Ratio37.7
ROE5.91%
ROA2.61%
Debt/Equity16.19
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowCN¥2.4B
Free Cash FlowCN¥845.0M
Industry P/E24.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI60.9
SupportCN¥30.30
ResistanceCN¥38.27
MA 20CN¥34.68
MA 50CN¥34.32
MA 200CN¥33.98
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥9.20
Target PriceCN¥41.29
Upside/Downside10.67%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.59%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.10
Volatility47.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.