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002385:SZSEBeijing Dabeinong Technology Group Co.,Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

CN¥3.01

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading at CNY 3.01, well below its 20‑day SMA of 3.34, 50‑day SMA of 3.69 and 200‑day SMA of 4.02, indicating a strong bearish trend. RSI is at a deep 13.8, suggesting the market may be oversold, while the MACD is bearish with a negative histogram. Support sits at CNY 3.00 and resistance at CNY 3.72, leaving limited upside in the near term, yet the upside/downside metric shows a potential 66% gain to the analyst target of CNY 5.00. Volatility is high at nearly 20% over 30 days and beta is slightly negative, reflecting a stock that moves independently of the broader market. On the valuation side, the forward PE of 12.0 and price‑to‑book of 1.74 are modest, and the price‑to‑sales of 0.44 suggests the stock is cheap relative to its sales. However, fundamentals are weak: revenue grew only 4.7% YoY, gross margin is just 10.8%, operating and profit margins are negative, ROE is –9%, and debt‑to‑equity is an alarming 158%, with free cash flow turning negative. The dividend yield of 1% and a payout ratio of 53% add a modest income cushion, but the sustainability of that payout is questionable given the cash‑flow strain.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • RSI deep oversold level may trigger a short‑term bounce
  • Bearish MACD and price below all major moving averages
  • High 30‑day volatility and negative earnings increase downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Target price of CNY 5 implies ~66% upside
  • Forward PE of 12 suggests reasonable valuation if earnings recover
  • 1% dividend yield provides additional return while waiting for turnaround

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Persistent high debt and negative free cash flow limit sustainable growth
  • Value‑oriented valuation metrics are attractive but require operational improvement
  • Consumer defensive farm products sector offers some stability amid broader market cycles

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth4.70%
Profit Margin-3.23%
P/E Ratio12.0
ROE-9.05%
ROA-0.06%
Debt/Equity157.98
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥311.8M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-396468544

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI13.8
SupportCN¥3.00
ResistanceCN¥3.72
MA 20CN¥3.34
MA 50CN¥3.69
MA 200CN¥4.02
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target PriceCN¥5.00
Upside/Downside66.11%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.00%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.10
Volatility19.98%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.