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002380:KRXKCC Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-27 - not real-time

₩567,000.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

KCC Corp. is trading at 567,000 KRW, just above its 20‑day SMA of 560,675 KRW and comfortably above the 50‑day SMA of 537,120 KRW, indicating short‑term momentum but also a price premium to its longer‑term 200‑day SMA of 459,478 KRW. The RSI sits at 53.5, suggesting a neutral stance without clear overbought pressure, while the MACD histogram remains deeply negative, flagging bearish momentum despite the overall bullish trend label. The stock’s fair‑value estimate from DCF is roughly 381,000 KRW, leaving the market priced about 16% above that level, which points to an overvalued condition. Volatility is elevated at over 65% 30‑day and the beta of 1.28 signals higher sensitivity to market swings, amplifying risk in a high‑greed environment (Fear‑Greed Index 91.43). On the fundamentals side, revenue is contracting (‑6.1% YoY) and leverage is high with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 66.4%, yet the company generates strong cash flow and pays a modest 2.61% dividend yield with a low payout ratio of 6.45%, supporting dividend sustainability. In sum, the stock’s price is stretched relative to intrinsic value, technical momentum is mixed, and balance‑sheet leverage adds a layer of caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price trading above fair value by ~16%
  • Bearish MACD momentum
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash generation supporting dividend
  • Neutral RSI and bullish trend direction
  • Potential price correction toward support at 472,500 KRW

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive dividend yield with low payout ratio
  • Fundamental resilience from solid operating cash flow
  • Opportunity for value re‑rating if price aligns with DCF fair value

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.10%
Profit Margin23.73%
P/E Ratio7.9
ROE23.51%
ROA1.61%
Debt/Equity66.45
Op. Cash Flow₩789.5B
Free Cash Flow₩519.6B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI53.5
Support₩472,500.00
Resistance₩656,000.00
MA 20₩560,675.00
MA 50₩537,120.00
MA 200₩459,477.50
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.43

Valuation

Fair Value₩380,976.37
Target Price₩658,000.00
Upside/Downside16.05%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.61%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.28
Volatility65.56%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.