002304:SZSEJiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-11 - not real-time
CN¥38.07
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co., Ltd. is priced at ¥38.07 and its moving averages line up in bearish order, the shorter trailing the longer. Over a rolling month the price has lost 11.3%. Relative strength is 39.0 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. Watch ¥37.88 as support and ¥40.22 as the nearer resistance level.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 122.8, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Consensus targets land 17.5% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is contracting at 36.9% on a 3.1% profit margin. The 3.82% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 21.3%, a beta of 0.14 and a maximum drawdown of 48.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on sell, with conviction of 5/10.
On valuation the read is fair — an earnings multiple of 122.8, absent a reliable peer benchmark. Consensus targets land 17.5% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is contracting at 36.9% on a 3.1% profit margin. The 3.82% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 21.3%, a beta of 0.14 and a maximum drawdown of 48.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on sell, with conviction of 5/10.
Top Market Events
Yahoo Finance2monJiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co.Find the latest Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 49.76
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Dividend yield of 3.82% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading below the 200-day average of 49.76
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Dividend yield of 3.82% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +17.5% versus the current price
- Revenue contracting at -36.9%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-36.90%
Profit Margin3.10%
P/E Ratio122.8
ROE0.94%
ROA0.88%
Debt/Equity0.46
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash FlowCN¥-1044289664
Free Cash FlowCN¥-3217935360
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI39.0
SupportCN¥37.88
ResistanceCN¥40.22
MA 20CN¥39.16
MA 50CN¥39.84
MA 200CN¥49.76
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.07
Valuation
Target PriceCN¥44.73
Upside/Downside17.50%
GradeFair
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.82%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.14
Volatility21.32%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.