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002294:SZSEShenzhen Salubris Pharmaceuticals Co., Ltd. Class A Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time

CN¥30.38

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Shenzhen Salubris Pharma is trading at CNY 30.38, well below its 20‑day SMA of 32.26 and far under the 50‑day (43.71) and 200‑day (52.28) averages, indicating a strong bearish bias. However, the RSI of 23 signals deep oversold conditions and the MACD histogram has turned positive, suggesting a potential short‑term rebound toward the nearest resistance at CNY 36.5. The stock’s volatility is high at roughly 50% over the past 30 days, yet its beta is only 0.06, implying limited correlation with broader market moves. Fundamentally, revenue grew 15.7% YoY with a robust gross margin of 75% and operating cash flow of CNY 1.07 bn, but the PE ratio of 50.6 dwarfs the industry average of 24, and a DCF‑derived fair value of just CNY 3.20 underscores severe overvaluation. The company holds ample cash (CNY 1.83 bn) against modest debt, but free cash flow is thin, and the dividend payout is zero, making dividend sustainability irrelevant.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • RSI deep oversold condition
  • MACD histogram turning positive
  • Proximity to strong support at CNY 29.85

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue growth and high gross margins
  • Continued valuation premium versus peers
  • Potential regulatory headwinds in Chinese pharma

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value far below market price
  • PE ratio more than double industry average
  • Elevated valuation may trigger correction

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth15.70%
Profit Margin14.97%
P/E Ratio50.6
ROE7.41%
ROA3.80%
Debt/Equity2.59
P/B Ratio3.7
Op. Cash FlowCN¥1.1B
Free Cash FlowCN¥77.7M
Industry P/E24.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI23.2
SupportCN¥29.85
ResistanceCN¥36.50
MA 20CN¥32.26
MA 50CN¥43.71
MA 200CN¥52.28
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.88

Valuation

Fair ValueCN¥3.20
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.06
Volatility50.04%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.