002236:SZSEZhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-24 - not real-time
CN¥17.86
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Zhejiang Dahua Technology trades around CNY 17.86, comfortably above its 20‑day (CNY 18.10) and 50‑day (CNY 17.81) moving averages but still below the 200‑day average, indicating short‑term momentum with longer‑term caution. Its trailing PE of 15x is well below the industry average of ~30x, and a dividend yield of 3.1% with a 54% payout ratio suggests attractive income. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of roughly CNY 4 indicates the current price may be stretched, and a bearish MACD coupled with neutral RSI (~48) points to limited upside in the immediate term.
The company shows solid fundamentals – 10% revenue growth, healthy cash reserves (CNY 7.9 bn) versus modest debt (CNY 0.68 bn), and consistent free cash flow – but faces medium regulatory risk in China’s security‑technology sector and a beta that suggests low market volatility. Overall, investors should weigh the dividend appeal and relative valuation against the valuation gap and regulatory backdrop.
The company shows solid fundamentals – 10% revenue growth, healthy cash reserves (CNY 7.9 bn) versus modest debt (CNY 0.68 bn), and consistent free cash flow – but faces medium regulatory risk in China’s security‑technology sector and a beta that suggests low market volatility. Overall, investors should weigh the dividend appeal and relative valuation against the valuation gap and regulatory backdrop.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram suggests limited near‑term upside
- Price near recent resistance level around CNY 18.86
- Attractive dividend yield provides income while waiting for catalyst
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Analyst target median price of CNY 22.5 implies ~27% upside
- PE well below industry average indicating value potential
- Steady revenue growth and strong cash generation support earnings expansion
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term dividend sustainability with moderate payout ratio
- DCF fair value gap raises valuation concerns over extended horizon
- Medium regulatory risk in China’s security‑tech space could affect growth
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.30%
Profit Margin11.69%
P/E Ratio15.0
ROE10.07%
ROA3.75%
Debt/Equity1.72
P/B Ratio1.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥3.8B
Free Cash FlowCN¥296.1M
Industry P/E29.7
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI47.9
SupportCN¥17.40
ResistanceCN¥18.86
MA 20CN¥18.10
MA 50CN¥17.81
MA 200CN¥18.68
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥4.03
Target PriceCN¥22.83
Upside/Downside27.83%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.11%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.16
Volatility28.40%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.