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002236:SZSEZhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time

CN¥17.94

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock trades at 17.94 CNY, below its 20‑day (18.55), 50‑day (19.18) and 200‑day (18.20) simple moving averages, indicating short‑term weakness. RSI sits at 36, MACD histogram is negative and volume trend is decreasing, reinforcing a bearish technical backdrop. Yet the company boasts a PE of 14.8 versus an industry average of 29.3, suggesting it is markedly undervalued. The dividend yield of 3.58% with a payout ratio of 38% provides attractive income, and the balance sheet shows ample cash (8.17 bn CNY) against modest debt (0.47 bn CNY). Revenue growth is flat at 1% and operating margin is 17.2%, reflecting limited near‑term growth but solid profitability.
Given the low beta (0.11) and a target upside of roughly 29% from analysts, the stock offers a compelling risk‑adjusted upside for patient investors. The sector’s security‑and‑protection services are essential, but regulatory scrutiny in China adds a medium level of risk. Overall, the blend of defensive valuation, strong dividend, and modest volatility supports a hold‑to‑buy stance over medium to long horizons.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 20‑, 50‑ and 200‑day SMAs
  • Bearish MACD and RSI below 40
  • Decreasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • PE well below industry average
  • High dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Strong cash position and low debt

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta indicating defensive volatility
  • Analyst upside potential of ~29%
  • Stable earnings and consistent dividend policy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.00%
Profit Margin11.77%
P/E Ratio14.8
ROE10.12%
Debt/Equity1.21
P/B Ratio1.5
Industry P/E29.3

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI36.1
SupportCN¥17.64
ResistanceCN¥19.34
MA 20CN¥18.55
MA 50CN¥19.18
MA 200CN¥18.20
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.45

Valuation

Target PriceCN¥23.18
Upside/Downside29.20%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.58%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.11
Volatility23.89%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.