002156:SZSETongfu Microelectronics Co.,Ltd Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
CN¥57.22
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Tongfu Microelectronics is trading below its short‑term moving average while remaining above the long‑term average, a mixed technical picture that leans bullish on the longer horizon. The MACD has turned bearish and the RSI sits near the neutral zone, suggesting limited upside in the near term.
Fundamentally, the company posts strong double‑digit revenue growth but operates on thin margins and carries leverage well above one‑to‑one, with cash flow turning negative. Valuation metrics are stretched—price‑earnings is well above the sector norm and the dividend yield is negligible—while analyst price targets sit considerably lower than the current market price, indicating a consensus expectation of downside. The stock also exhibits very high recent price volatility and a declining volume trend, adding to short‑term uncertainty.
Fundamentally, the company posts strong double‑digit revenue growth but operates on thin margins and carries leverage well above one‑to‑one, with cash flow turning negative. Valuation metrics are stretched—price‑earnings is well above the sector norm and the dividend yield is negligible—while analyst price targets sit considerably lower than the current market price, indicating a consensus expectation of downside. The stock also exhibits very high recent price volatility and a declining volume trend, adding to short‑term uncertainty.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- bearish MACD crossover
- stretched valuation relative to peers
- analyst price targets below current level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- robust revenue growth offset by high leverage
- persistent margin pressure
- potential for operational improvements
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- long‑term industry tailwinds in semiconductor testing
- risk of continued cash‑flow deficits
- uncertain regulatory environment for Chinese tech exporters
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth22.80%
Profit Margin4.93%
P/E Ratio60.2
ROE9.67%
ROA2.65%
Debt/Equity116.57
P/B Ratio5.5
Op. Cash FlowCN¥6.4B
Free Cash FlowCN¥-2201262848
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI43.9
SupportCN¥55.01
ResistanceCN¥78.56
MA 20CN¥64.76
MA 50CN¥55.67
MA 200CN¥44.34
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueCN¥89.26
Target PriceCN¥41.21
Upside/Downside-27.98%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.14%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.24
Volatility83.18%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.