002129:SZSETCL Zhonghuan Renewable Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
CN¥9.62
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
TCL Zhonghuan Renewable Energy trades around CNY 9.62, just above its calculated support of CNY 8.28 and below resistance at CNY 10.37. Technicals show a bullish MACD crossover (MACD line 0.21 > signal 0.11) and a neutral RSI of 56, while volume is increasing, suggesting short‑term buying pressure. However, the stock exhibits very high 30‑day volatility (≈43 %) and a near‑zero beta, indicating price swings are driven more by company‑specific factors than market moves. Fundamentally the company struggles with negative margins (gross ‑15 %, operating ‑18 %) and a massive debt‑to‑equity ratio of 159, though revenue grew 7 % YoY and the price‑to‑book is under 2×. Analysts project a modest upside of ~17 % (target mean CNY 11.27) and maintain a “hold” stance.
Material news from the Korea Green Energy Expo 2026 highlights TCL Solar’s new photovoltaic products, which could boost its renewable‑energy franchise and provide a catalyst for earnings improvement, but the benefits must outweigh the heavy debt load and cash‑flow deficits before the market fully re‑prices the stock.
Material news from the Korea Green Energy Expo 2026 highlights TCL Solar’s new photovoltaic products, which could boost its renewable‑energy franchise and provide a catalyst for earnings improvement, but the benefits must outweigh the heavy debt load and cash‑flow deficits before the market fully re‑prices the stock.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and rising volume
- Proximity to support level
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Projected 17 % upside to target price
- Revenue growth despite margin pressure
- Elevated debt and negative cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Secular demand for renewable‑energy solutions
- New product rollout at Korea Green Energy Expo
- Potential restructuring of debt and improvement in cash generation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.30%
Profit Margin-30.52%
P/E Ratio-57.7
ROE-23.48%
ROA-3.82%
Debt/Equity159.32
P/B Ratio1.9
Op. Cash FlowCN¥957.4M
Free Cash FlowCN¥-563049600
Industry P/E38.8
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI56.5
SupportCN¥8.28
ResistanceCN¥10.37
MA 20CN¥9.11
MA 50CN¥9.21
MA 200CN¥9.10
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.29
Valuation
Target PriceCN¥11.27
Upside/Downside17.17%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.04
Volatility42.90%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.